Monthly Archives: August 2013
More details at Arctic Sea Ice Blog. About the Healy and it’s mission.
There’s a paper out today (just published online) by J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, and F. W. Zwiers, called “Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years”. I’ve addressed this “pause in warming question” at this blog earlier, and … Continue reading
Wild Weather Dan, fellow AGU member, and meteorologist extraordinaire, rightly scoffs at a CBS News piece about the Old Farmers Almanac. Being in the middle of reading a biography of Benjamin Franklin, originator of said Old Farmers Almanac, I am … Continue reading
I think the most entertaining introduction to Bayesian thought is provided by Eliezer Yudkowsky in his “An intuitive explanation of Bayes’ Theorem“. The new text, Doing Bayesian Data Analysis, by Professor John Kruschke comes close. But it’s a textbook and … Continue reading
Sugihara, May, Ye, Hsieh, Deyle, Fogarty, and Munch published what I consider to be a pretty interesting paper in Science called “Detecting causality in complex ecosystems”, linked: http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1227079 http://www.uvm.edu/~cdanfort/csc-reading-group/sugihara-causality-science-2012.pdf Professor Andrew Gelman of Columbia seemed unimpressed by the article, and … Continue reading
Dr Larry Peterson, reporting from Expedition 346 of the Integrated Ocean Drilling Program (IODP), on “Why we’re here”. Quote in part: The present is the key to the past. This simple statement is one of the axioms of geology, first … Continue reading
Tony O’Hagan interviews the great D. V. Lindley on the history and emergence of modern Bayesian statistics. This is courtesy of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA). The Jimmy Savage Professor Lindley refers to was Leonard Jimmie Savage.
From recent article “Iron fertilization enhanced net community production but not downward particle flux during the Southern Ocean iron fertilization experiment LOHAFEX”, by P. Martin, M. Rutgers van der Loeff, N. Cassar, P. Vandromme, F. d’Ovidio, L. Stemmann, R. Rengarajan, … Continue reading
Professor Bradley Efron wrote a piece on “Bayes’ theorem in the 21st century” in Science for 7th June 2013 which, as always, offers his measured approach to the frequentist-Bayesian controversy (see B. Efron, “A 250 year argument: Belief, behavior, and the … Continue reading
There’s more at the source of the link, hat tip to Hot Topics.
The statement and description are at the AGU site. In announcing the statement, Gerald North, chair of the AGU’s Climate Change Position Statement Review Panel said: Because our understanding of climate change and its impacts on the world around us … Continue reading