Monthly Archives: February 2014

Dealing with other, more dangerous kinds of waste: Fukushima at home

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has a major story about the mishandling and abuse of the public welfare during the Cold War and after, by the United States Department of the Navy. See: A primer: Military nuclear wastes in the … Continue reading

Posted in citizenship, civilization, ecology, economics, education, environment, history, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Bayes vs the virial theorem

Bayes vs the virial theorem.

Posted in Bayesian, mathematics, maths, MCMC, reasonableness, science, statistics | 4 Comments

“Scientific evidence for warming of the climate system is unequivocal”

From NASA, Climate Change: Evidence. Featuring: Consensus. See the list. Rapid change: Sea-level rise. Rapid change: Global temperature rise. Rapid change: Warming oceans. Rapid change: Shrinking ice sheets. Rapid change: Declining Arctic sea ice. Rapid change: Glacial retreat. Rapid change: Extreme … Continue reading

Posted in climate, climate education, environment, forecasting, geophysics, meteorology, oceanography, physics, risk, science | Tagged | 2 Comments

Why the Higgs field and gravity are completed unrelated

I wondered about this. Dr Matt Strassler set me (and others) straight. It’s also interesting how even the relatively educated media gets the Higgs role in physics wrong.

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Yet another reason to be really proud of WHOI

As readers may know, Claire and I are really strong supporters of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI). Whether it is about a continuing and fierce passion for world class science contributing to understanding climate change and the workings of climate, for … Continue reading

Posted in compassion, ecology, environment, investing, oceanography, politics, reasonableness, science, Unitarian Universalism, WHOI | Leave a comment

`You can’t explain it.’ No, Bill, YOU can’t explain it.

Originally posted on Open Mind:
Some of you might remember that when talking to an atheist, Faux News’ Bill O’Reilly said “Tide comes in, tide goes out, you can’t explain it.” Of the ridicule he received for that, my favorite…

Posted in atheism, climate, climate education, education, environment, geophysics, meteorology, physics, politics, rationality, science | Leave a comment

The zero-crossings trick for JAGS: Finding roots stochastically

BUGS has a “zeros trick” (Lund, Jackson, Best, Thomas, Spiegelhalter, 2013, pages 204-206; see also an online illustration) for specifying a new distribution which is not in the standard set. The idea is to couple an invented-for-the-moment Poisson density to … Continue reading

Posted in Bayesian, BUGS, education, forecasting, Gibbs Sampling, JAGS, mathematics, MCMC, probabilistic programming, R, statistics, stochastic search | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

“Without even thinking very hard …”: My favorite post from RealClimate

Professor Ray Pierrehumbert’s “Open Letter to Steve Levitt” has to be my favorite post on RealClimate. Not only does it do “Consider a spherical cow” kinds of quick calculation, in a Socratic manner it exposes the manipulation which climate deniers or, if … Continue reading

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Meet The Press Shows How Not To Cover Science – Dan’s Wild Wild Science Journal – AGU Blogosphere

Meet The Press Shows How Not To Cover Science – Dan’s Wild Wild Science Journal – AGU Blogosphere.  

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‘One in four Americans don’t know the Earth revolves around the Sun’

See http://phys.org/news/2014-02-americans-struggle-science-respect-scientists.html summarizing a recent report by the National Science Foundation.

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Exaggerated numbers of deaths due to climate change

See Professor Spiegelhalter’s blog posting … http://understandinguncertainty.org/more-deaths-due-climate-change-or-maybe-not

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An optimistic plan, wishfully thought

The United States recently released an official report as part of its participation in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) via its Department of States called the United States Climate Action Report 2014. A significant element of this … Continue reading

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