Monthly Archives: April 2015

“… the most patronizing start to an answer I have ever received …”

Professor Christian Robert tries to help out a student of MCMC on Cross Validated and earns the comment that his help had “the most patronizing start to an answer I have ever received“. I learned a new term: primitivus petitor.

Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, MCMC, optimization, reasonableness, statistics, stochastic algorithms | Leave a comment

Oklahoma: Not OK

Originally posted on Open Mind:
Oklahoma is not OK. Over five years ago, at the end of 2009, we already had the data to show a dramatic increase in Oklahoma earthquake activity. We would soon know why. Having recently been…

Posted in bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, citizen science, citizenship, clean disruption, climate, climate change, climate education, education, environment, ethics, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, fracking, geophysics, maths, natural gas, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, statistics, time series | Leave a comment

“I’m sorry.”

“It is up to us to take care of this planet.”

Posted in carbon dioxide, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, compassion, ecology, economics, education, environment, ethics, fossil fuel divestment, humanism, meteorology, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, the right to know, Unitarian Universalism, UU Humanists | Leave a comment

Eli Rabett on the APS “Draft Statement on Earth’s Changing Climate”

This is from Rabett Run. The American Physical Society (“APS”) is working on a draft statement on climate change. Compared to other scientific organizations (and my own primary society, the American Statistical Association), it’s sure taking them a long time. … Continue reading

Posted in carbon dioxide, Carbon Tax, chemistry, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, diffusion processes, ecology, environment, fossil fuel divestment, geophysics, meteorology, methane, NCAR, NOAA, oceanography, open data, politics, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, sea level rise, solar power, testing, the right to know, time series, WHOI, wind power | Leave a comment

The ShoutROC action on the climate rally, Concord, MA, 19th April 2015.

Album available. Y’think this is play stuff? These start slow, but, in the end, they are overwhelming. Go ahead, try to say “No, we’re gonna consume all we want, and what’s left is YOUR problem” to this citizen:

Posted in Boston Ethical Society, Carbon Tax, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, compassion, conservation, ethics, fossil fuel divestment, history, humanism, reasonableness, the right to know, Unitarian Universalism, UU Humanists | 1 Comment

“Climate Change, the Elevator Pitch”

Richard Alley: Katharine Hayhoe: Eric Rignot: Simon Donner: Mauri Pelto: Ken Caldeira:

Posted in Antarctica, Arctic, astrophysics, carbon dioxide, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, consumption, geophysics, IPCC, meteorology, NCAR, physics, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, Ray Pierrehumbert, risk, science, science education, statistics | Tagged | Leave a comment

“A vignette on Metropolis” (Christian Robert)

Originally posted on Xi'an's Og:
Over the past week, I wrote a short introduction to the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, mostly in the style of our Introduction to Monte Carlo with R book, that is, with very little theory and…

Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, Gibbs Sampling, JAGS, MCMC, optimization, probabilistic programming, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search | Leave a comment

“Women in Oceanography”, on WHOI’s R/V Knorr; “Ice, Eddies, and Climate Change” by Scripps’ Pinkel

The research vessel Knorr is a Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) vessel. Here’s more from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, speaking on “Ice, Eddies and Climate Change”:

Posted in Antarctica, Arctic, carbon dioxide, climate, climate change, climate education, ecology, environment, geophysics, IPCC, meteorology, oceanography, physics, science, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, sea level rise, WHOI | Leave a comment

Earth Day, my hope

Posted in carbon dioxide, Carl Sagan, Charles Darwin, citizen science, citizenship, civilization, clean disruption, climate, climate change, climate education, compassion, conservation, Darwin Day, demand-side solutions, ecology, economics, education, efficiency, energy reduction, environment, ethics, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, geophysics, history, humanism, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, mathematics, maths, meteorology, NCAR, NOAA, oceanography, open data, open source scientific software, physics, politics, population biology, Principles of Planetary Climate, privacy, probit regression, R, rationality, Ray Pierrehumbert, reasonableness, reproducible research, risk, science, science education, scientific publishing, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, sociology, the right to know, Unitarian Universalism, UU Humanists, WHOI, wind power | Leave a comment

“Dong Energy has entered the US offshore market by acquiring a 759 square kilometer development area off the Massachusetts coast”

Dong Energy has entered the US offshore market by acquiring a 759 square kilometer development area off the Massachusetts coast from RES Americas.

Posted in clean disruption, efficiency, energy, investment in wind and solar energy, wind power | Leave a comment

“This planet comes with limits”

Carl Safina elaborates on the limits of exploitation. It’s consistent with what David Suzuki conveys in his succinct presentation, linked below: As Suzuki says, this isn’t politics or opinion, or even biology, it’s just math.

Posted in Anthropocene, biology, carbon dioxide, citizenship, climate change, ecology, environment, forecasting, history, humanism, physics, population biology, rationality, reasonableness, risk | Leave a comment

“Where is the horse?” Tony Seba

“Choosing to wait is choosing to be disrupted.”

Posted in citizenship, civilization, clean disruption, decentralized electric power generation, demand-side solutions, economics, energy, engineering, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, history, investment in wind and solar energy, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, wind power | 3 Comments

Climate week at Harvard, 6th-10th April 2015

See the Gazette for a summary, and their Web page for more. Events are open to the public. Some highlights: April 7th, 1630, “Reinventing Fire: Profitable Low-Carbon Futures for the U.S. and China” with Amory Lovins, Chairman/Chief Scientist of the … Continue reading

Posted in citizenship, civilization, climate education, economics, education, environment, ethics, humanism, investing, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, science, science education | Leave a comment

We are trying. And the bitterest result is to have so-called colleagues align themselves with the Koch brothers

I attended a 350.org meeting tonight. One group A group presenting there called “Fighting Against Natural Gas” applauded themselves for assailing Senator Whitehouse of Rhode Island for his supportive position on natural gas pipelines. Now, I am no friend of … Continue reading

Posted in Anthropocene, astrophysics, Boston Ethical Society, bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide sequestration, Carbon Tax, chemistry, citizenship, climate, climate change, climate education, consumption, decentralized electric power generation, demand-side solutions, ecology, economics, energy reduction, engineering, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, JAGS, meteorology, methane, model comparison, NASA, natural gas, NCAR, Neill deGrasse Tyson, oceanography, open data, physics, politics, population biology, Principles of Planetary Climate, Python 3, R, rationality, reasonableness, reproducible research, risk, science, science education, Scripps Institution of Oceanography | 4 Comments