Monthly Archives: March 2016

photon farming on 30th March 2016, Westwood

(Click on image to see generation right now.) That’s 53.9 kWh, and a peak generation of 8.1 kW. And it’s just after Spring Equinox. Postscript. Utility-DIVE reports that ISO-NE now estimates installed solar in New England by 2025 will be 30% … Continue reading

Posted in clean disruption, climate change, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, distributed generation, electricity markets, energy, energy reduction, energy utilities, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, grid defection, investment in wind and solar energy, local generation, regime shifts, Sankey diagram, solar domination, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, the energy of the people, the green century, Westwood, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | 5 Comments

‘Utilities facing a mortal threat from Solar’

Hey, Mr Eversource, Mr National Grid, Mr Associated Industries of Massachusetts, still think you have an energy future? Meet the Green Tea Coalition. It’s about the right to be self-sufficient, and self-sustainable. It’s about big government and big corporations and … Continue reading

Posted in adaptation, bridge to somewhere, citizenship, clean disruption, corruption, Debbie Dooley, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, distributed generation, economics, efficiency, energy reduction, energy utilities, fossil fuel divestment, Green Tea Coalition, greenhouse gases, investment in wind and solar energy, liberal climate deniers, public utility commissions, PUCs, regulatory capture, Sankey diagram, solar domination, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, sustainability, Tea Party, the energy of the people, the green century, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | 1 Comment

WOO HOO: free of Carbon day!

Officially, today, 29th at 1600 EDT, our home was free of using fossil fuel energy. We now have: A 10 kW nameplate SunPower/RevoluSun solar array on our roof, which generated 49 kWh today, and gives remarkable, over-the-top performance despite there … Continue reading

Posted in Anthropocene, carbon dioxide, clean disruption, climate, climate change, climate disruption, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, electricity, electricity markets, energy, energy reduction, energy utilities, engineering, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, greenhouse gases, grid defection, Hyper Anthropocene, investment in wind and solar energy, microgrids, mitigation, public utility commissions, PUCs, rate of return regulation, rationality, reasonableness, regulatory capture, Sankey diagram, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, the energy of the people, the green century, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | 10 Comments

weather, atmospheric pressure differentials, and more energy from the Sun, free for the taking

(Click on image to see full size. Use browser Back button to return to blog.) And it’s not even a storm. Think of all the energy in those winds!

Posted in adaptation, AMETSOC, AMOC, Anthropocene, Arctic, clean disruption, climate, climate change, climate disruption, coastal communities, decentralized electric power generation, energy, environment, geophysics, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, NOAA, wind energy, wind power | Leave a comment

Bill Nye’s “Global Meltdown”: Climate grief in 5 steps

Postscript, 2nd April 2016 I’ve been asked offline whether I buy McPherson’s catastrophic warming scenario. I don’t, or at least I wouldn’t bet on it. Each of the components of Professor McPherson’s scenario are based upon solid science. But in … Continue reading

Posted in adaptation, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, Arnold Schwarzennegger, Bill Nye, bridge to nowhere, Carbon Cycle, Carbon Worshipers, climate, climate change, climate disruption, denial, Eaarth, Earle Wilson, energy, environment, Florida, fossil fuels, geophysics, global warming, greenhouse gases, Hyper Anthropocene, physics, planning, rationality, reasonableness, science, selfishness, zero carbon | 4 Comments

It’s hotter than you think

Posted in adaptation, Anthropocene, atheism, Bill Nye, bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, civilization, climate change, climate disruption, environment, fossil fuels, geophysics, global warming, greenhouse gases, greenwashing, Guy McPherson, Hyper Anthropocene, ignorance, James Hansen, Kevin Anderson, meteorology, methane, mitigation, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, sustainability, zero carbon | Leave a comment

“This solar future is inevitable — the key question is how long it will take” (David Roberts, of VOX)

Here it is: solar photovoltaic (PV) power is eventually going to dominate global energy. The question is not if, but when. Maybe it will happen radically faster than anyone expects — say, by 2050. Or maybe it won’t be until … Continue reading

Posted in adaptation, Anthropocene, bridge to somewhere, citizenship, clean disruption, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, destructive economic development, distributed generation, economics, efficiency, electricity, electricity markets, energy, energy reduction, energy utilities, engineering, evidence, exponential growth, grid defection, Hermann Scheer, Hyper Anthropocene, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, local generation, microgrids, planning, rate of return regulation, rationality, reasonableness, solar domination, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, the green century, Tony Seba, zero carbon | Leave a comment

“What’s the deal with sea level rise?”

Update: 20th June 2016 “Rising seas: Should I say or should I go?“, by Delavane Diaz WunderBlog.

Posted in adaptation, AMOC, Antarctica, Anthropocene, Arctic, Carbon Worshipers, civilization, dynamical systems, Eaarth, geophysics, glaciers, glaciology, global warming, Guy McPherson, Hyper Anthropocene, ice sheet dynamics, James Hansen, oceanography, physics, planning, prediction, Principles of Planetary Climate, regime shifts, risk, science, sea level rise, the tragedy of our present civilization, thermohaline circulation, Wally Broecker | Leave a comment

Sheila Widnall on the responsibilities of engineers: The COLUMBIA accident and its CAIB

Highly recommended. Always moving, at least for me. Engineering is a serious business: http://mit.tv/AjqL6n Engineers and their programs are embedded in organizational structures. These structures control the success or failures of the program. In dealing with high risk technologies the … Continue reading

Posted in citizenship, disingenuity, engineering, NASA, organizational failures, rationality, reasonableness, science, sociology, the tragedy of our present civilization | Leave a comment

Hermann Scheer

Hat tip to Climate Denial Crock of the Week. See his Web site. Paraphrasing, what enabled Germany to have its Energiewende Scheer said that what happened in Germany it was necessary to open the space for the people to act. … Continue reading

Posted in bridge to nowhere, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, clean disruption, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, destructive economic development, distributed generation, energy, energy reduction, energy utilities, grid defection, Hermann Scheer, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, marginal energy sources, Sankey diagram, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, the energy of the people, the green century, the tragedy of our present civilization, Tony Seba, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | 1 Comment

HadCRUT4 and GISTEMP series filtered and estimated with simple RTS model

Happy Vernal Equinox! This post has been updated today with some of the equations which correspond to the models. An assessment of whether or not there was a meaningful slowdown or “hiatus” in global warming, was recently discussed by Tamino … Continue reading

Posted in AMETSOC, anemic data, Bayesian, boosting, bridge to somewhere, cat1, changepoint detection, climate, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, climate models, complex systems, computation, data science, dynamical systems, geophysics, George Sughihara, global warming, hiatus, information theoretic statistics, machine learning, maths, meteorology, MIchael Mann, multivariate statistics, physics, prediction, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, reasonableness, regime shifts, sea level rise, time series | 2 Comments

The rationale for reducing Net Metering is based both on unsound math and unsound physics

News on the diddling-with-metering front. I argued in a comment today that the standard rationale for a change in net metering is based upon accounting and legal contract which is both unsound physics and unsound mathematics. Recall that that rationale … Continue reading

Posted in adaptation, Anthropocene, bollocks, citizenship, clean disruption, climate disruption, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, destructive economic development, disingenuity, distributed generation, economics, efficiency, EIA, electricity, electricity markets, energy, energy reduction, energy utilities, extended supply chains, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, greenhouse gases, grid defection, Hyper Anthropocene, investment in wind and solar energy, local generation, Mark Jacobson, microgrids, mitigation, public utility commissions, PUCs, rate of return regulation, rationality, reasonableness, Sankey diagram, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, Tony Seba, utility company death spiral, zero carbon | Leave a comment

Solar PV: Growing by 120% in 2016! And THAT’S in the United States

That’s 16 Gigawatts, folks! See CleanTechnica for more.

Posted in adaptation, bridge to somewhere, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, distributed generation, economics, efficiency, electricity, electricity markets, energy reduction, energy utilities, engineering, exponential growth, grid defection, investment in wind and solar energy, local generation, Mark Jacobson, microgrids, public utility commissions, PUCs, rate of return regulation, Sankey diagram, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, Tony Seba, utility company death spiral, zero carbon | Leave a comment

Solar production at Westwood Statistical Studios

Image | Posted on by | Leave a comment

p-values and hypothesis tests: the Bayesian(s) rule

The American Statistical Association of which I am a longtime member issued an important statement today which will hopefully move statistical practice in engineering and especially in the sciences away from the misleading practice of using p-values and hypothesis tests. … Continue reading

Posted in approximate Bayesian computation, arXiv, Bayes, Bayesian, Bayesian inversion, bollocks, Christian Robert, climate, complex systems, data science, Frequentist, information theoretic statistics, likelihood-free, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, MCMC, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, population biology, rationality, reasonableness, science, scientific publishing, statistical dependence, statistics, stochastics, Student t distribution | Leave a comment

energy storage

Where we’ll go should net metering be nixed.

Posted in adaptation, Anthropocene, bridge to nowhere, citizenship, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, destructive economic development, distributed generation, economics, efficiency, electricity, electricity markets, energy, energy utilities, engineering, extended supply chains, Hyper Anthropocene, investment in wind and solar energy, microgrids, planning, politics, privacy, public utility commissions, PUCs, rate of return regulation, regime shifts, regulatory capture, Sankey diagram, solar energy, solar power, SolarPV.tv, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | Leave a comment

Going down to the Southern Ocean, by Earle Wilson (on the Scripps R/V Roger Revelle)

(Click on picture to see a larger image, and use your browser Back button to return to reading.) Getting steady data from the Earth’s oceans demands commitment and not a little courage. I could never do what these oceanographers do, … Continue reading

Posted in Alison M Macdonald, anemic data, Antarctica, climate data, complex systems, Earle Wilson, Emily Shuckburgh, engineering, environment, fluid dynamics, geophysics, marine biology, NOAA, oceanic eddies, oceanography, open data, Principles of Planetary Climate, sampling, science, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, thermohaline circulation, waves, WHOI, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution | Leave a comment