And, from that Lefty Socialist rag, Forbes.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- American Statistical Association
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Mertonian norms
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- James' Empty Blog
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- "The Expert"
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Gavin Simpson
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Ted Dunning
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- What If
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Gabriel's staircase
climate change
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Skeptical Science
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- The Sunlight Economy
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Risk and Well-Being
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- RealClimate
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- weather blocking patterns
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Ice and Snow
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
@scienceofdoom,
This is about capability, cost of plant, and speed of build-out, including battery storage, which is the new feature here. Y’need a synoptically scaled integrated grid per Jacobson’s plan with smart controls to make this work, I think.
I consider wind energy another kind of solar energy. That not only isn’t limited by day, in some cases it anti-correlates with solar.
The costs and cost curves for wind and solar are well known. See Lazard’s unsubsidized Levelizef Cost of Storage analysis for the storage part, per https://www.lazard.com/perspective/levelized-cost-of-energy-and-levelized-cost-of-storage-2018/.
A concern about building an energy system reliant substantially upon solar PV/solar thermal is that it precludes use of solar radiation management (“SRM”). I’m no fan of SRM, not at all. I think it’s terrible, because of collateral health effects and the dumping of heat back should it be interrupted. (For readers: Oceans have a lot of thermal capacity, but they also have a time constant for take-up. Interrupting SRM would dump a bunch of heat back which oceans would take up in the long term, but not immediately. Given that oceans take up 90%-94% of excess heat now, that could be a really big problem.) But in a context where it might be seriously thought about being deployed, it would be an act of desperation and large scale solar would nix that option.
How many hours of storage?
Suppose you are relying on this system for all your power, for example, you’ve replaced all your gas plants. Now you want to supply electricity to your consumers even if there are 3 days with minimal solar power.
How much storage is required? And what does it cost?