Monthly Archives: October 2020

Phase Plane plots of COVID-19 deaths with uncertainties

I. Introduction. It’s time to fulfill the promise made in “Phase plane plots of COVID-19 deaths“, a blog post from 2nd May 2020, and produce the same with uncertainty clouds about the functional trajectories(*). To begin, here are some assumptions … Continue reading

Posted in American Statistical Association, Andrew Harvey, anomaly detection, count data regression, COVID-19, dependent data, dlm package, Durbin and Koopman, dynamic linear models, epidemiology, filtering, forecasting, Kalman filter, LaTeX, model-free forecasting, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, numerical algorithms, numerical linear algebra, population biology, population dynamics, prediction, R, R statistical programming language, regression, statistical learning, stochastic algorithms | Tagged | Leave a comment

Muehlenberg County

Posted in climate disruption, coal, John Prine | Leave a comment

RethinkX update on Wind, Solar, and Storage

Posted in American Solar Energy Society, Amory Lovins, being carbon dioxide, Benji Backer, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, children as political casualties, clear air capture of carbon dioxide, climate business, climate economics, climate education, Conservation Action Coalition, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, disruption, distributed generation, ecocapitalism, ecological disruption, ecomodernism, ecopragmatist, electric vehicles, electrical energy storage, electricity, electricity markets, energy storage, energy utilities, entrpreneurs, Green Tea Coalition, grid defection, investment in wind and solar energy, Joseph Schumpeter, keep fossil fuels in ground, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, local self reliance, Michael Bloomberg, microgrids, On being Carbon Dioxide, photovoltaics, RevoluSun, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, Talk Solar, the energy of the people, the green century, Tony Seba, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | Leave a comment

Posted in statistics | Leave a comment

“We will love science and its controversies.”

We will continue, Professor. With all the teachers and professors in France, we will teach history, its glories and its vicissitudes. We will introduce literature, music, all works of soul and spirit. We will love with all our strength the … Continue reading

Posted in Charlie Hebdo, martyrs to truth, mathematics, religion, science | Tagged , | Leave a comment

“No, COVID-19 Is not the Flu”

Q&A with Andrew Pekosz, PhD, Johns Hopkins University: Q: What would you say to someone who insists to you that COVID-19 is “just the flu”? A: Since December 2019, COVID-19 has killed more people in the U.S. than influenza has … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2 | Leave a comment

dead bodies vs economic integrity

From The Financial Times.

Posted in pandemic, population biology, population dynamics, SARS-CoV-2 | Leave a comment

“A Matter of Degrees”

“A Matter of Degrees” is a new climate change mitigation podcast, created and produced by Drs Katharine Wilkinson and Leah Stokes. The first episode, “Give up your climate guilt“, is auspicious. Check it out. Fair disclosure: I have been pretty … Continue reading

Posted in #sunrise, #youthvgov, Amory Lovins, being carbon dioxide, Carbon Cycle, climate activism, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate mitigation, climate policy, global warming, liberal climate deniers | Leave a comment

Tesla 3 to Ithaca, NY and back

Claire and I visited my older son, Dave, and partner Mary Ellen in Ithaca, NY, over the weekend. Great trip with Tesla 3, supercharged all the way. Glad we did not go farther afield: An assortment of photos, from sailing … Continue reading

Posted in Autumn, New York State, Tesla | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Für alle ohne maske

h/t Professor Christian Robert.

Posted in COVID-19, pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Opposing Canadian hydropower, an opposition which supports local renewables?

Ilana Cohen of the Pulitzer prize-winning Inside Climate News reports how some environmental activists in northern New England are concerned about the progress of tapping Canadian hydropower to feed the electrical needs of New England. Opposition is also voiced by … Continue reading

Posted in an ignorant American public, an uncaring American public, being carbon dioxide, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, cliamate mitigation, climate business, climate disruption, Commonwealth of Massachusetts, Cult of Carbon, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, development as anti-ecology, distributed generation, ecocapitalism, Ecology Action, ecomodernism, electrical energy storage, electricity, electricity markets, emissions, energy utilities, fossil fuel divestment, fossil fuel infrastructure, gas pipeline leaks, global warming, greenhouse gases, Hermann Scheer, indigenous peoples, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, liberal climate deniers, local generation, local self reliance, Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, mitigating climate disruption, Nathan Phillips, natural gas, regulatory capture, rights of the inhabitants of the Commonwealth, science denier, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, sustainability, sustainable landscaping, the green century, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, utility company death spiral, zero carbon | 1 Comment

Solar PV, Agriculture, and Enhancing Pollinator Habitats

How land under solar contributes to food security (Nebraskans for Solar) Farming solar Dual harvest (Hampshire Daily Gazette) Pollinator-friendly solar with bird-friendly buffers (Vermont Audubon)    

Posted in agrivoltaics, agroecology, decentralized electric power generation, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, zero carbon | Leave a comment

“Charlie, the jogger, the killer, and the journalist” — Xi’an’s Og

I was deeply angered when I heard of this atrocity, to the degree that I had tears in my eyes. It was bad enough when Salman Rushdie had to go into hiding and adopt elusiveness as a lifestyle for the … Continue reading

Posted in humor, rationality, reason, satire | Leave a comment

“Babbage: Pandemic’s progress”

From at The Economist, a podcast episode: Pandemic’s progress Sep 23 2020 28 mins As the global covid-19 death toll nears 1 million, The Economist’s healthcare correspondent and health policy editor explain what scientists are still investigating about the virus, … Continue reading

Posted in pandemic, podcasts, SARS-CoV-2 | Tagged , , | Leave a comment