Where we are now, and what we have to do to limit to +2C:
And, as far as +1.5C goes, it’s gone. Or at least that target can no longer met without invoking the fantasyland of negative emissions. There isn’t enough time.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Slice Sampling
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- NCAR AtmosNews
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Gavin Simpson
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Label Noise
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Number Cruncher Politics
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- All about Sankey diagrams
- American Statistical Association
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Professor David Draper
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Awkward Botany
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- London Review of Books
- "The Expert"
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Gabriel's staircase
- Karl Broman
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
climate change
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- SolarLove
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Ice and Snow
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- The Sunlight Economy
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- David Appell's early climate science
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Simple models of climate change
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Risk and Well-Being
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Sea Change Boston
- And Then There's Physics
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Earth System Models
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
