667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Tag Archives: ecopragmatism

Good news, and a beacon of progress, with hope for more to come

Posted on 14 September 2020 by ecoquant

That’s Sundar Pichai, CEO, Google and Alphabet. Ørsted : “Love your home”

Posted in afforestation, agrivoltaics, Alphabet, argoecology, Ørsted, being carbon dioxide, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, carbon dioxide sequestration, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate mitigation, climate policy, ecocapitalism, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, electricity, emissions, engineering, fossil fuel divestment, Global Carbon Project, global warming, global weirding, Green New Deal, greenhouse gases, keep fossil fuels in ground, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, Mark Jacobson, moral leadership, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, Sundar Pichai, sustainability, technology, the green century, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | Tagged Alphabet, cumulative carbon emissions, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, Google, solar domination, solar energy, solar pv, zero carbon energy | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Label Noise
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Mertonian norms
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Awkward Botany
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Earle Wilson
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Ted Dunning
    • Slice Sampling
  • climate change

    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • Ice and Snow
    • Earth System Models
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Skeptical Science
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • weather blocking patterns
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • Sea Change Boston
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • Simple models of climate change
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • David Appell's early climate science
  • Archives

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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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