Professor Christian Robert remarks on the amazing Gibbs sampler. Implicitly he’s also underscoring the power of properly done Bayesian computational analysis. For here we have a problem with a posterior distribution having two strong modes, so a point estimate, like a mean would be completely wrong, yet that’s what MLE would give you. Gibbs hangs in there, acknowledging both modes.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- What If
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Ted Dunning
- Karl Broman
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Awkward Botany
- London Review of Books
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Professor David Draper
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Gabriel's staircase
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- American Statistical Association
climate change
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Reanalyses.org
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Warming slowdown discussion
- David Appell's early climate science
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Sea Change Boston
- Spectra Energy exposed
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- SolarLove
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- RealClimate
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Skeptical Science
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- The Sunlight Economy
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 