… This Blog …
… is devoted to opposing, as best as I can, “… that most natural of human tendencies: the triumph of hope over evidence” .
This blog has “667-per-cm.net” in it WordPress URL, and is titled 667 per cm, that corresponding to the frequency of a big spectral line for carbon dioxide (see below) which happens to line close to the peak blackbody emissions region for Earth at nominal temperatures. These physical facts and the proximity of that line to Earth’s blackbody emissions mode is a key element in the reason why climate change due to excess atmospheric carbon dioxide occurs.
Eli Rabett of Rabett Run has a good deal more information about the fine structure of the CO2 band at .
Eli Rabett has posted a fine series of deep tutorials about the spectroscopic basis for CO2‘s absorption. This is in connection with an answer to questions posed by Judge Alsup regarding the physical science basis of climate change. Here are links to Eli’s posts:
- Dear Judge Alsup: The Spectroscopic Basis
- Dear Judge Alsup: The Quantum Interlude
- Dear Judge Alsup: Putting on the Pressure
Eli has once again posted an excellent tutorial. This is an illustration of how “the presence of a colder body can limit the rate at which a warmer one emits energy”, and it exists to parry silly — and probably disingenuous — climate denier remarks about how global warming somehow violates basic physics, most frequently citing the Second Law of Thermodynamics, and various misstatements of it which confuse the inexperienced.
And, in a second installment, Eli addresses energy balance throughout the atmosphere and implications for warming and radiative forcing, including the effects of convection.
Jan Galkowski is a Computational statistician, quantitative engineer, ecoquant. See his profile at:
Jan is a member of the Azimuth Project, and that page has some more information about my interests and views, although it is not up-to-date.
He has an S.M. degree in EE & Computer Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (“MIT”), and a B.S. degree in Physics from Providence College. He has taken additional graduate level courses in mathematics, signal processing, geology, geophysics, statistics, computer science, and history of science from Cornell University, Binghamton University, Syracuse University, University of Illinois–Urbana-Champaign, MIT, Colorado State University, West Point Military Academy, Naval Postgraduate School–Monterey, AFCEA, and Harvard University. Some of these were sponsored by DARPA.
Prior to his present job, Mr Galkowski served as data warehouse developer, test engineer, advisory software engineer, and entrepreneur for Cornell University, Sensis, Westinghouse Nuclear Automation, Loral Federal Systems, IBM Federal Systems, and Aetna U.S. Healthcare. He has a deep interest in science, especially oceanography, ecology, quantitative biology, and dynamical systems models pertaining to these, and especially those related to climate science.
Mr Galkowski’s areas of interest are:
- Methods of computation, primarily for statistical problems, including stochastic search, search and optimization using genetic algorithms, and deep analogs of well-wrought algorithms like Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Slice Sampling.
- Population ecology, quantitative biology, and methods from genomics.
- Tree-based Bayesian methods like Bayesian Regression and Classification Trees.
- Bayesian computation and analysis.
- Keen interest in self-documenting calculations, backed by LaTeX and R.
Actively looking for what might be Stage II of my career.
Jan is a member of:
- the International Society for Bayesian Analysis
- the American Statistical Association, and an active member of its Boston Chapter
- the Ecological Society of America
- the American Association for the Advancement of Science
- the Neponset River Watershed Association
- the 1930 Society of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
- the Fye Society of the Woods Hold Oceanographic Institution
Some things to which Jan has contributed which are publicly available:
- “Warming slowdown?” (in 2 parts), at the Azimuth blog: here and here
- (Acknowledgement only) “Monte Carlo methods in climate science“, J. C. Baez, D. Tweed.
- The entries of this blog, including The zero-crossings trick for JAGS: Finding roots stochastically
… Technical Interests
… Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Mr Galkowski and his beautiful and clever wife, Claire, are strong supporters of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.
… Guidance Regarding Blog Comments
Guidance for posting on this blog: I will not tolerate climate denial comments. I also reserve the right to delete or edit comments made.
… Westwood Statistical Studios
Mr Galkowski also provides statistical advice to individuals, groups, towns, and companies through his pro bono statistical consultancy, Westwood Statistical Studios, specializing in applications of statistical inference to environmental and municipal management problems. Contact him below if you are interested in a preliminary session.
Contact Westwood Statistical Studios below:
Jan is broadly interested in questions of statistical practice, based upon
- the guidelines of the American Statistical Association,
- those pertaining especially to statistical consultants,
- and those pertaining to questions of careful data stewardship in a world which values data more than knowledge.
- Reproducible research, including full release of data and computer programs (“codes”) which were used to derive results and, accordingly,
- Open access to research publications without paywalls and a critical consideration of the role of peer review in the 21st century.
… Politically Speaking …
I am a climate hawk, meaning that minimizing and preventing further climate disruption is the issue, and dominates all other ones. Accordingly, I favor no particular political party or candidate, as long as they take aggressive action on the question, whether it is Senator Bernie Sanders or Bob Inglis’ Republicen. One could also call me a Hermann Scheer solar revolutionary because I both judge solar photovoltaic technology to be a revolutionary energy source for the reasons Professor Tony Seba details, and because it is a democratically empowering development, returning control of energy to the people and public at large, denying central concentrators of such power the influence they presently enjoy. Thus, it heralds the oncoming of a green century and the return of electrical power to the people.
While I am vehemently against any expansion of fossil fuels, I also believe that the historical commingling of environmental questions with progressive causes has hurt progress on the environment and that Democrats get an all-too-easy pass on environmental questions. I also believe that some environmental questions are more important than others, climate disruption and species extinction being the most important, and that many large environmental organizations have so long played the political game they are more interested in maintaining and expanding their political power than in the reasons why they were founded in the first place.
I am also against endless building and expansion, especially in wetland area, and oppose continued development, preferring zoning rules to curtail it, even if this can be interpreted as “snob zoning”.
And I will accept help from anywhere, even utilities and corporations who have seen the need to change.
 This is a quote from Howard Wainer, in an article which appeared in CHANCE magazine, a publication of the American Statistical Association. The article was entitled “Defeating Deception: Escaping the Shackles of Truthiness by Learning to Think like a Data Scientist“, 29(1), 2016, 61-64.