Questions About El Nino Answered – Dan’s Wild Wild Science Journal – AGU Blogosphere | hypergeometric

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Questions About El Nino Answered – Dan’s Wild Wild Science Journal – AGU Blogosphere

Posted on 10 September 2015 by ecoquant

Source: Questions About El Nino Answered – Dan’s Wild Wild Science Journal – AGU Blogosphere

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This entry was posted in bifurcations, capricious gods, chance, climate change, Dan Satterfield, ensembles, ENSO, games of chance, maths, meteorology, NOAA, nor'easters, oceanography, precipitation, prediction, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, spatial statistics. Bookmark the permalink.

← STUFF IN PROGRESS

Bob Inglis: “Energy optimists. Climate realists.” →

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Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models

Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.

I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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