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Category Archives: Walpole Preservation Alliance

Much ado about explosive methane

Posted on 14 December 2020 by ecoquant

Sunday’s Boston Globe had a lead article about the demise of opposition to the Weymouth natural gas compressor station, defeated by Commonwealth and federal support for its operation. Many people I know protested that scourge of Weymouth and the Commonwealth, … Continue reading →

Posted in Cape Cod, Cape Wind, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, CleanTechnica, climate change, climate disruption, Cult of Carbon, decentralized electric power generation, electricity, electricity markets, explosive methane, fossil fuel divestment, fossil fuels, fracking, gas pipeline leaks, global warming, Governor Charlie Baker, greenhouse gases, investment in wind and solar energy, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, methane, natural gas, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, the green century, Walpole Preservation Alliance, West Roxbury Lateral, Weymouth compressor station, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Label Noise
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Mertonian norms
    • All about models
    • Professor David Draper
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
  • climate change

    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • Reanalyses.org
    • weather blocking patterns
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • RealClimate
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • Sea Change Boston
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • Warming slowdown discussion
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    • That’s a silly idea, especially about a universe which is fundamentally stochastic. 30 July 2026
    • So much for U.S. leadership in Science and Engineering 30 July 2026
    • “record warm 2026” 27 July 2026
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    • Insight from Tamino 28 June 2026
    • Climate is Back … 24 June 2026
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    • Entire NSF National Science Board fired by Donald Trump 27 April 2026
    • DT is moving to control U.S. elections, one state at a time 27 April 2026
    • The Climate Brink 17 April 2026
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    • from Canada PM Mark Carney 24 March 2026
    • Professor Katharine Hayhoe “Talking Climate” today 21 March 2026
    • thanks DT for making the case for solar and EVs and NOT oil 20 March 2026
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    • Stark 18 January 2026
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    • NAP update on Endangerment Finding 26 December 2025
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    • 16th September 2025, Westwood, MA 16 September 2025
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    • NOAA climate assessment which has been taken off the federal site 13 August 2025
    • Fast-Track Review of Latest Evidence for Whether Greenhouse Gas Emissions Endanger Public Health and Welfare 7 August 2025
    • A New Phase in Trump’s War on Data 6 August 2025
    • Beaker Street 5 August 2025
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    • Steve Buchan, botanical photographer 28 July 2025
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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