If the AI and GPT result reported in Nature is other than superstition,there must be a statistical model justifying it.
I’d like to know what it is and how it compares to existing well known prediction schemes and algorithms. Right now, can’t tell.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- All about models
- Gabriel's staircase
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- "The Expert"
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Ted Dunning
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Mertonian norms
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- James' Empty Blog
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- American Statistical Association
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- What If
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- London Review of Books
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Slice Sampling
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Karl Broman
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
climate change
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Reanalyses.org
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- World Weather Attribution
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- weather blocking patterns
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- And Then There's Physics
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Climate model projections versus observations
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
