667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Category Archives: American Conservation Coalition

What’s wrong with Massachusetts? Land wind turbines!

Posted on 7 December 2020 by ecoquant

For groups of people who seriously embrace land wind turbines, there is no downside.

Posted in American Conservation Coalition, American Solar Energy Society, Ørsted, being carbon dioxide, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, Cape Wind, capitalism, CleanTechnica, climate activism, climate disruption, climate policy, Commonwealth of Massachusetts, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, distributed generation, ecocapitalism, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, education, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, global weirding, Green Tea Coalition, Hermann Scheer, Karl Ragabo, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, local generation, local self reliance, microgrids, mitigating climate disruption, On being Carbon Dioxide, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, Sonnen community, statistical ecology, Talk Solar, the energy of the people, the green century, the tragedy of our present civilization, Tony Seba, tragedy of the horizon, unreason, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

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    • Karl Broman
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • American Statistical Association
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • All about models
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • What If
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • London Review of Books
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
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    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Professor David Draper
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
  • climate change

    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Warming slowdown discussion
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • RealClimate
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Earth System Models
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • SolarLove
    • Ice and Snow
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • Sea Change Boston
    • Spectra Energy exposed
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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