667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Category Archives: Friedman

What you need to do

Posted on 26 November 2019 by ecoquant

Yes, I know, this is from Orsted, a public company which, primarily, builds offshore wind farms. And, as a result, you out there (which is, frankly, an infinitesimal fraction of the world, because, basically, no one follows me), will critique … Continue reading →

Posted in #climatestrike, American Solar Energy Society, an uncaring American public, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, clean disruption, climate disruption, climate policy, decentralized electric power generation, destructive economic development, distributed generation, ecological disruption, ecological services, ecomodernism, economics, ecopragmatism, electrical energy storage, emissions, exponential growth, extended producer responsibility, finance, Friedman, South Shore Recycling Cooperative | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Earle Wilson
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Professor David Draper
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Mertonian norms
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • American Statistical Association
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • What If
    • Awkward Botany
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Gavin Simpson
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • London Review of Books
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
  • climate change

    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • RealClimate
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • Skeptical Science
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Simple models of climate change
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Earth System Models
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Ice and Snow
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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