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Figure courtesy of the International Energy Agency.
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Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Professor David Draper
- Label Noise
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- James' Empty Blog
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- "The Expert"
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Earle Wilson
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Gavin Simpson
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- What If
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Ted Dunning
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
climate change
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- World Weather Attribution
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- And Then There's Physics
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- RealClimate
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- weather blocking patterns
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Social Cost of Carbon
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 
And they need it! Since China emits more CO2 than the US, EU and Japan combined. The developed world’s emissions have been going down for a decade, but all those gains have been wiped out by China’s increases.
Your claim is technically true, but misleading. The United States emits more than half of what China does, and a good chunk of China emissions are due to manufacturing products which Americans consume. Same applies to the remainder of the OECD countries.
For these purposes, the basis of comparison needs to be proper. In particular, the first order cause of climate disruption is not emissions intensity but, rather, total cumulative emissions. (See the updated bottom of the post for a figure.)
Emissions intensity is first a question on what needs to be done to get all emissions to zero, and, second, may have second order effects upon climate disruption we do not yet entirely understand. The latter is complicated because, for instance, the ENSO phenomenon in the Pacific helps sequester both CO2 and excess radiative forcing as heat during ENSO- and releases it during ENSO+, and these are not necessarily direct effects, either, since they include retaining heat in water via precipitation.
Accordingly, the total amount of China’s solar buildout is less significant than its rate of buildout. Note the total is slightly bigger than even Germany’s, and Germany has been at it much longer.
Total solar penetration as a percentage of total energy market is doubling every two-to-four years. As any process of exponential growth, that means domination within a few decades, even if bumps are hit in the road, and even excluding technological accelerators like improvements in energy storage. The question is, when domination occurs, who will own the biggest piece of the pie? People who are rapidly growing theirs? Or people who sit back, burning fossil fuels in their homes and cars, and buy tons of stuff, and assuage their consciences and their neighbors by pointing fingers at places like China?