Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Gabriel's staircase
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Earle Wilson
- London Review of Books
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- American Statistical Association
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Risk and Well-Being
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- "The Expert"
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- All about models
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- What If
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Ted Dunning
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Awkward Botany
climate change
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- weather blocking patterns
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Ice and Snow
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Skeptical Science
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Simple models of climate change
- And Then There's Physics
- World Weather Attribution
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- The Sunlight Economy
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Earth System Models
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- RealClimate
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 
I wonder how much articles like this, and the current “Losing Earth”, will affect the further evisceration of whatever might be possible relative to a political coalition to address the “fine mess YOU’VE(!) gotten us into”? Systemically the mess is a matter of motivated reasoning regarding a trusted irrational economic paradigm. In this go[]d we trust.
Thanks for linking back to this article from last year. The current one will likely be similarly lost to memory soon enough. Such is the power [and curse] of motivated reasoning.
https://mobile.twitter.com/OpenToInfo/status/1026926017003315201
BTW, for now, the decision to install more PV seems well considered compared to the battery option.
sNAILmALEnotHAIL …but pace’n myself
https://m.youtube.com/channel/UCeDkezgoyyZAlN7nW1tlfeA
life is for learning so all my failures must mean that I’m wicked smart
>
Thank you for your comment.
The public and the U.S. government has been repeatedly warned of the consequences of uncontrolled release of greenhouse gases into atmosphere since 1965, when President LBJ was the first President briefed. Whatever one might think of the present national mood on the matter, there was a time when that mood was largely absent. That the situation has gotten worse because of collective inaction is hardly a surprise: That’s how these things usually go.
The problem is basically that the U.S. public does not want to embrace its responsibility of educating itself to where it can understand the risks. And, no, this is not entirely the fault of fossil fuel companies, although they have been very opportunistic. The U.S. public does not want to contemplate, let alone implement the reduction in standard of living, however temporary, needed to make the transition from fossil fuels to zero Carbon. This includes building much smaller homes.
I have every confidence that, as Dr Tyson observes, when the wealthy begin to lose their wealth, there will be action. Alas, that’s likely to take a while and, by that time, as the science shows, a bunch of change will be committed and will last for a thousand years. That’s not forever, but it’s long. And we can still work together to keep things from getting worse.
But I see no will for it, and, with every year of delay, the amount of effort and the corresponding economic hurt casades:
But it can hardly be dropped at the feet of scientists.
Moreover, progressives, in my opinion, complicate matters when they try to marry things like climate justice, jobs, and immigration policy to energy and climate reform, mitigation, adaptation, and actions. They do not understand conditional probability. If
is the probability of action on climate change or adaptation or energy, and 
is the probability of action on something else, such as climate justice, jobs, and immigration policy, all which on their own are worthy causes, then it is mathematically true that 
and 
. In other words, lashing another issue onto climate reduces its likelihood. It by no means increases it.