Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- All about models
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- James' Empty Blog
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Ted Dunning
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- London Review of Books
- Professor David Draper
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Number Cruncher Politics
- What If
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Risk and Well-Being
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- American Statistical Association
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Earle Wilson
climate change
- Reanalyses.org
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- SolarLove
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Skeptical Science
- David Appell's early climate science
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Simple models of climate change
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Ice and Snow
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Earth System Models
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Climate model projections versus observations
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
I wonder how much articles like this, and the current “Losing Earth”, will affect the further evisceration of whatever might be possible relative to a political coalition to address the “fine mess YOU’VE(!) gotten us into”? Systemically the mess is a matter of motivated reasoning regarding a trusted irrational economic paradigm. In this go[]d we trust.
Thanks for linking back to this article from last year. The current one will likely be similarly lost to memory soon enough. Such is the power [and curse] of motivated reasoning.
https://mobile.twitter.com/OpenToInfo/status/1026926017003315201
BTW, for now, the decision to install more PV seems well considered compared to the battery option.
sNAILmALEnotHAIL …but pace’n myself
https://m.youtube.com/channel/UCeDkezgoyyZAlN7nW1tlfeA
life is for learning so all my failures must mean that I’m wicked smart
>
Thank you for your comment.
The public and the U.S. government has been repeatedly warned of the consequences of uncontrolled release of greenhouse gases into atmosphere since 1965, when President LBJ was the first President briefed. Whatever one might think of the present national mood on the matter, there was a time when that mood was largely absent. That the situation has gotten worse because of collective inaction is hardly a surprise: That’s how these things usually go.
The problem is basically that the U.S. public does not want to embrace its responsibility of educating itself to where it can understand the risks. And, no, this is not entirely the fault of fossil fuel companies, although they have been very opportunistic. The U.S. public does not want to contemplate, let alone implement the reduction in standard of living, however temporary, needed to make the transition from fossil fuels to zero Carbon. This includes building much smaller homes.
I have every confidence that, as Dr Tyson observes, when the wealthy begin to lose their wealth, there will be action. Alas, that’s likely to take a while and, by that time, as the science shows, a bunch of change will be committed and will last for a thousand years. That’s not forever, but it’s long. And we can still work together to keep things from getting worse.
But I see no will for it, and, with every year of delay, the amount of effort and the corresponding economic hurt casades:
But it can hardly be dropped at the feet of scientists.
Moreover, progressives, in my opinion, complicate matters when they try to marry things like climate justice, jobs, and immigration policy to energy and climate reform, mitigation, adaptation, and actions. They do not understand conditional probability. If
is the probability of action on climate change or adaptation or energy, and 
is the probability of action on something else, such as climate justice, jobs, and immigration policy, all which on their own are worthy causes, then it is mathematically true that 
and 
. In other words, lashing another issue onto climate reduces its likelihood. It by no means increases it.