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The Alternative to Divestment from Fossil Fuels …

Posted on 22 March 2014 by ecoquant

From the great XKCD … (Click image to enlarge.)

Posted in chemistry, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate education, conservation, consumption, demand-side solutions, ecology, economics, education, engineering, environment, geoengineering, geophysics, investing, optimization, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science | Tagged soda | Leave a comment
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    • All about models
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    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • What If
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    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Slice Sampling
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Earle Wilson
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    • James' Empty Blog
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Gavin Simpson
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    • London Review of Books
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
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    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • Karl Broman
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
  • climate change

    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • Sea Change Boston
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • SolarLove
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • Ice and Snow
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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