667 per centimeter
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
Skip to content
  • Home
  • About

Category Archives: Schroders

Schroders asset management forecasts global warming of more than +4℃

Posted on 17 July 2017 by ecoquant

(Updated Thursday, 27 July 2017) Schroders is a global asset management firm. They very recently issued a warning that current global trends put the planet on track for more than +4℃ warming. The full news brief, from them, is available … Continue reading →

Posted in adaptation, Anthropocene, Buckminster Fuller, climate business, climate disruption, climate economics, corporate litigation on damage from fossil fuel emissions, corporate supply chains, disingenuity, dynamical systems, economics, environmental law, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, fossil fuel infrastructure, global blinding, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, investing, investments, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, Schroders, sea level rise, Spaceship Earth, sustainability, temporal myopia, the right to be and act stupid, the show, the tragedy of our present civilization, the value of financial assets, tragedy of the horizon, zero carbon | 1 Comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • "The Expert"
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Awkward Botany
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • What If
    • Karl Broman
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • American Statistical Association
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Ted Dunning
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Mertonian norms
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • London Review of Books
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
  • climate change

    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Earth System Models
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Ice and Snow
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • World Weather Attribution
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • RealClimate
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • SolarLove
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
  • Archives

  • Jan Galkowski

    • 1 ecoquant
  • Blog Stats

    • 119,200 hits
  • Recent Posts

    • Tamino On The Heat 11 September 2026
    • Rohde, Calvert, Hausfather: “A 0.25° Global Gridded Temperature Data Set for Climate Monitoring” 6 September 2026
    • Professor Terence Tao 30 August 2026
    • “World’s Worst Photographer” 28 August 2026
    • “No, we’re not” 1 August 2026
    • That’s a silly idea, especially about a universe which is fundamentally stochastic. 30 July 2026
    • So much for U.S. leadership in Science and Engineering 30 July 2026
    • “record warm 2026” 27 July 2026
    • Professor Jeff Galkowski won a Whitehead Prize this year 3 July 2026
    • From TJ on the 250th 3 July 2026
    • Professor James Hansen 30 June 2026
    • Insight from Tamino 28 June 2026
    • Climate is Back … 24 June 2026
    • Some Solar in Westwood 22 June 2026
    • Importance of NSF’s Ocean Observatories Initiative 15 June 2026
    • More on RCP 8.5 from … 26 May 2026
    • The story of RCP 8.5 26 May 2026
    • “Estonia Warns European Allies Against Direct Talks With Russia” 17 May 2026
    • wind machine 10 May 2026
    • Dr Des Callaghan’s “Bryophytes around the world” 28 April 2026
    • Entire NSF National Science Board fired by Donald Trump 27 April 2026
    • DT is moving to control U.S. elections, one state at a time 27 April 2026
    • The Climate Brink 17 April 2026
    • Tamino, on Climate, Spring 2026 12 April 2026
    • from Canada PM Mark Carney 24 March 2026
    • Professor Katharine Hayhoe “Talking Climate” today 21 March 2026
    • thanks DT for making the case for solar and EVs and NOT oil 20 March 2026
    • 2026 March 14 [J 073.87] “Pi Day” 14 March 2026
    • Rare and hard to find 1937-1938 15 February 2026
    • EPA official actions on their “endangerment finding” 14 February 2026
    • RC: “a peek behind the curtain” 23 January 2026
    • Stark 18 January 2026
    • Could this be why DT wants Greenland? 16 January 2026
    • NAP update on Endangerment Finding 26 December 2025
    • Sporophyte capsules 16 October 2025
    • AI and GPT don’t manufacture results from nothing 18 September 2025
    • 16th September 2025, Westwood, MA 16 September 2025
    • Pohlia lescuriana 6 September 2025
    • Mckibben vs Nordhous 22 August 2025
    • NOAA climate assessment which has been taken off the federal site 13 August 2025
    • Fast-Track Review of Latest Evidence for Whether Greenhouse Gas Emissions Endanger Public Health and Welfare 7 August 2025
    • A New Phase in Trump’s War on Data 6 August 2025
    • Beaker Street 5 August 2025
    • Biofluorescent marsupial 5 August 2025
    • Steve Buchan, botanical photographer 28 July 2025
    • 2025 Jul 4-12 J(185-193) around yard 2 long lenses OM5 camera 12 July 2025
    • 25mm compact lens equivalent to 50mm 2 July 2025
    • Polytrichum macro photos, several of spore capsules 30 June 2025
    • “Macro Treasures” 12 June 2025
    • Flickr Account 24 May 2025
  • Follow Blog via Email

    Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

    Join 130 other subscribers
  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter Arctic Ice: The Saga Continues
Create a website or blog at WordPress.com
Loading Comments...