667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Category Archives: UUMFE

No ordinary lawsuit: Levi Draheim, UUMFE Guardian of the Future

Posted on 28 September 2018 by ecoquant

No Ordinary Lawsuit Federal climate change lawsuit plaintiff Levi Draheim in Washington, D.C. (Photo credit: Robin Loznak/Our Children’s Trust) The full story, and in audio from PRI. UU Ministry for Earth description of his award. Levi is a plaintiff in … Continue reading →

Posted in Anthropocene, atmosphere, being carbon dioxide, bridge to somewhere, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide capture, children as political casualties, clear air capture of carbon dioxide, climate, climate change, climate disruption, climate justice, environment, environmental law, First Parish Needham, fossil fuels, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, James Hansen, Juliana v United States, Levi Draheim, New England, Our Children's Trust, Unitarian Universalism, UU, UU Mass Action, UU Ministry for Earth, UU Needham, UUMFE | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

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    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • "The Expert"
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Awkward Botany
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Mertonian norms
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Slice Sampling
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
  • climate change

    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • RealClimate
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Sea Change Boston
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Simple models of climate change
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • SolarLove
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
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    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
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    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • Skeptical Science
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Ice and Snow
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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