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Tag Archives: bare truth

“Mad as a Hatter” : Larkin Poe

Posted on 29 September 2020 by ecoquant
Posted in Larkin Poe | Tagged bare truth, Larkin Poe | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • "The Expert"
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Professor David Draper
    • Ted Dunning
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Mertonian norms
    • All about models
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Earle Wilson
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Gavin Simpson
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
  • climate change

    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • Simple models of climate change
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • Sea Change Boston
    • weather blocking patterns
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • SolarLove
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • Social Cost of Carbon
  • Archives

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  • Recent Posts

    • CLIMATE FORWARD from The New York Times 22 September 2026
    • Tamino On The Heat 11 September 2026
    • Rohde, Calvert, Hausfather: “A 0.25° Global Gridded Temperature Data Set for Climate Monitoring” 6 September 2026
    • Professor Terence Tao 30 August 2026
    • “World’s Worst Photographer” 28 August 2026
    • “No, we’re not” 1 August 2026
    • That’s a silly idea, especially about a universe which is fundamentally stochastic. 30 July 2026
    • So much for U.S. leadership in Science and Engineering 30 July 2026
    • “record warm 2026” 27 July 2026
    • Professor Jeff Galkowski won a Whitehead Prize this year 3 July 2026
    • From TJ on the 250th 3 July 2026
    • Professor James Hansen 30 June 2026
    • Insight from Tamino 28 June 2026
    • Climate is Back … 24 June 2026
    • Some Solar in Westwood 22 June 2026
    • Importance of NSF’s Ocean Observatories Initiative 15 June 2026
    • More on RCP 8.5 from … 26 May 2026
    • The story of RCP 8.5 26 May 2026
    • “Estonia Warns European Allies Against Direct Talks With Russia” 17 May 2026
    • wind machine 10 May 2026
    • Dr Des Callaghan’s “Bryophytes around the world” 28 April 2026
    • Entire NSF National Science Board fired by Donald Trump 27 April 2026
    • DT is moving to control U.S. elections, one state at a time 27 April 2026
    • The Climate Brink 17 April 2026
    • Tamino, on Climate, Spring 2026 12 April 2026
    • from Canada PM Mark Carney 24 March 2026
    • Professor Katharine Hayhoe “Talking Climate” today 21 March 2026
    • thanks DT for making the case for solar and EVs and NOT oil 20 March 2026
    • 2026 March 14 [J 073.87] “Pi Day” 14 March 2026
    • Rare and hard to find 1937-1938 15 February 2026
    • EPA official actions on their “endangerment finding” 14 February 2026
    • RC: “a peek behind the curtain” 23 January 2026
    • Stark 18 January 2026
    • Could this be why DT wants Greenland? 16 January 2026
    • NAP update on Endangerment Finding 26 December 2025
    • Sporophyte capsules 16 October 2025
    • AI and GPT don’t manufacture results from nothing 18 September 2025
    • 16th September 2025, Westwood, MA 16 September 2025
    • Pohlia lescuriana 6 September 2025
    • Mckibben vs Nordhous 22 August 2025
    • NOAA climate assessment which has been taken off the federal site 13 August 2025
    • Fast-Track Review of Latest Evidence for Whether Greenhouse Gas Emissions Endanger Public Health and Welfare 7 August 2025
    • A New Phase in Trump’s War on Data 6 August 2025
    • Beaker Street 5 August 2025
    • Biofluorescent marsupial 5 August 2025
    • Steve Buchan, botanical photographer 28 July 2025
    • 2025 Jul 4-12 J(185-193) around yard 2 long lenses OM5 camera 12 July 2025
    • 25mm compact lens equivalent to 50mm 2 July 2025
    • Polytrichum macro photos, several of spore capsules 30 June 2025
    • “Macro Treasures” 12 June 2025
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter Arctic Ice: The Saga Continues
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