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Tag Archives: Larkin Poe

“Mad as a Hatter” : Larkin Poe

Posted on 29 September 2020 by ecoquant
Posted in Larkin Poe | Tagged bare truth, Larkin Poe | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • "The Expert"
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Ted Dunning
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Gavin Simpson
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • American Statistical Association
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
  • climate change

    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Skeptical Science
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Sea Change Boston
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • SolarLove
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • Ice and Snow
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
  • Archives

  • Jan Galkowski

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  • Recent Posts

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    • Dr Des Callaghan’s “Bryophytes around the world” 28 April 2026
    • Entire NSF National Science Board fired by Donald Trump 27 April 2026
    • DT is moving to control U.S. elections, one state at a time 27 April 2026
    • The Climate Brink 17 April 2026
    • Tamino, on Climate, Spring 2026 12 April 2026
    • from Canada PM Mark Carney 24 March 2026
    • Professor Katharine Hayhoe “Talking Climate” today 21 March 2026
    • thanks DT for making the case for solar and EVs and NOT oil 20 March 2026
    • 2026 March 14 [J 073.87] “Pi Day” 14 March 2026
    • Rare and hard to find 1937-1938 15 February 2026
    • EPA official actions on their “endangerment finding” 14 February 2026
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    • Stark 18 January 2026
    • Could this be why DT wants Greenland? 16 January 2026
    • NAP update on Endangerment Finding 26 December 2025
    • Sporophyte capsules 16 October 2025
    • AI and GPT don’t manufacture results from nothing 18 September 2025
    • 16th September 2025, Westwood, MA 16 September 2025
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    • Mckibben vs Nordhous 22 August 2025
    • NOAA climate assessment which has been taken off the federal site 13 August 2025
    • Fast-Track Review of Latest Evidence for Whether Greenhouse Gas Emissions Endanger Public Health and Welfare 7 August 2025
    • A New Phase in Trump’s War on Data 6 August 2025
    • Beaker Street 5 August 2025
    • Biofluorescent marsupial 5 August 2025
    • Steve Buchan, botanical photographer 28 July 2025
    • 2025 Jul 4-12 J(185-193) around yard 2 long lenses OM5 camera 12 July 2025
    • 25mm compact lens equivalent to 50mm 2 July 2025
    • Polytrichum macro photos, several of spore capsules 30 June 2025
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    • Flickr Account 24 May 2025
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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