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"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Tag Archives: being carbon dioxide

David Wallace Wells …The Uninhabitable Earth and its implications

Posted on 13 November 2021 by ecoquant

Think of this in the context of whatever investments you have.

Posted in zero carbon | Tagged AGW, anthropogenic global warming, being carbon dioxide, climate change, climate disruption, geophysics | Leave a comment

Climate Music Break : Signs of Life

Posted on 13 November 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in zero carbon | Tagged being carbon dioxide, climate disruption, ecology | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • "The Expert"
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Ted Dunning
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Professor David Draper
    • Karl Broman
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • American Statistical Association
    • Slice Sampling
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • James' Empty Blog
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • What If
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • London Review of Books
  • climate change

    • Reanalyses.org
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • RealClimate
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • World Weather Attribution
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Sea Change Boston
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • Earth System Models
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
  • Archives

  • Jan Galkowski

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  • Recent Posts

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    • Professor Katharine Hayhoe “Talking Climate” today 21 March 2026
    • thanks DT for making the case for solar and EVs and NOT oil 20 March 2026
    • 2026 March 14 [J 073.87] “Pi Day” 14 March 2026
    • Rare and hard to find 1937-1938 15 February 2026
    • EPA official actions on their “endangerment finding” 14 February 2026
    • RC: “a peek behind the curtain” 23 January 2026
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    • 16th September 2025, Westwood, MA 16 September 2025
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    • NOAA climate assessment which has been taken off the federal site 13 August 2025
    • Fast-Track Review of Latest Evidence for Whether Greenhouse Gas Emissions Endanger Public Health and Welfare 7 August 2025
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    • Beaker Street 5 August 2025
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    • Steve Buchan, botanical photographer 28 July 2025
    • 2025 Jul 4-12 J(185-193) around yard 2 long lenses OM5 camera 12 July 2025
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    • Flickr Account 24 May 2025
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    • yesterday 16 February 2025
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    • Comments on MFT for macrophotography, especially the OLY 60mm lens 7 February 2025
    • 2025Feb5J36 post-snow, pre-snow Polytrichum 5 February 2025
    • 2025Jan22-J22 converting ORF files to JPEG 22 January 2025
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    • Photo Comments? 19 January 2025
    • Mosses in Winter 18 January 2025
    • “A Key Part of Biden’s Climate Law Was Built to Survive Trump. Now, the Test.” 7 January 2025
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter Arctic Ice: The Saga Continues
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