667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: climatejustice

An Open Letter from U.S. Scientists Imploring President Biden to End the Fossil Fuel Era

Posted on 9 October 2021 by ecoquant

The following open letter was published on Thursday, 7th October 2021. Here is a link to the PDF original.

Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, being carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide, climate disruption, climate emergency | Tagged climatejustice, endfossilfuels, fridaysforfuture, solardemocracy, solarenergy, zero carbon energy | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • What If
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Awkward Botany
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Slice Sampling
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • London Review of Books
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • All about models
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • Label Noise
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Karl Broman
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Mertonian norms
  • climate change

    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Simple models of climate change
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Sea Change Boston
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Earth System Models
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • World Weather Attribution
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • Ice and Snow
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Warming slowdown discussion
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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