667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: investments

Carbon Bubble talk at The Motley Fool

Posted on 1 June 2013 by ecoquant
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged climate, economics, ethics, investments, policy, UU | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

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    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • London Review of Books
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • Professor David Draper
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Earle Wilson
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Awkward Botany
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • "The Expert"
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
  • climate change

    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • SolarLove
    • World Weather Attribution
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • RealClimate
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • weather blocking patterns
    • Ice and Snow
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • Warming slowdown discussion
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • MIT's Climate Primer
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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