Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Number Cruncher Politics
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Slice Sampling
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Gabriel's staircase
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Karl Broman
- Label Noise
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- All about models
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Professor David Draper
- American Statistical Association
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Earle Wilson
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
climate change
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Warming slowdown discussion
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Earth System Models
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Spectra Energy exposed
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- MIT's Climate Primer
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- weather blocking patterns
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- And Then There's Physics
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- World Weather Attribution
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- SolarLove
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Sea Change Boston
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Uncategorized
“All of Monsanto’s problems just landed on Bayer” (by Chris Hughes at Bloomberg)
See Chris Hughes’ article. Monsanto has touted Roundup (also known as Glyphosate but more properly as ) as a safe remedy for weed control, often in the taming of so-called “invasive species”. It’s used on playfields where children are exposed … Continue reading
Posted in agroecology, an uncaring American public, business, corporate responsibility, ecology, Ecology Action, environment, environmental law, epidemiology, evidence, invasive species, open data, Peter del Tredici, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, rights of the inhabitants of the Commonwealth, risk, statistics, sustainability, sustainable landscaping, the right to know, Uncategorized, unreason, Westwood
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My LinkedIn account
By the way, I often post smaller things and comment upon them, typically items having to do with economic, financial, business, or solid waste management matters, at my site on LinkedIn.
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(thought of the day)
One accurate measurement is worth a thousand expert opinions. — Grace Murray Hopper Hat tip to Pat’s blog.
Posted in statistics, Uncategorized
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(repost) How the recent New England cold snap and nor’easter did not cause natural gas prices to spike
I wrote a piece a bit back about the volatility in natural gas prices. These were seized upon by proponents of natural gas pipelines, whether Gordon von Welie from ISO-NE, to various representatives of petroleum and power generators councils, or … Continue reading
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From Xian’s blog, “drivers are not interested in maths formulas”
via drivers are not interested in maths formulas
Worthy of watching
https://www.democracynow.org/2017/12/25/noam_chomsky_in_conversation_with_amy So, what say you? Why should Professor Chomsky should not be believed? Why and what evidence proves, nay, even suggests he’s other than spot on?
Our Nisse and his porridge, 24th December 2017
I celebrate a Norwegian custom, honoring the Nisse of the house and land on Christmas eve. (Swedish tomte.) While we don’t have a farm, Claire and I are avid environmentalists, my being such since 1971. So, any being who cares … Continue reading
Posted in Carl Safina, Earle Wilson, environment, environmental law, Henry David Thoreau, natural philosophy, naturalism, Nature, Uncategorized
Tagged atheism, Nisse, Norwegian folklore, UU
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Harvey, Category 4, 850 mb, EarthWinds
It’s actually rather beautiful:
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Remaining below the UNFCCC +2°C limit through demand transformation and focus upon agriculture
Some projections of country commitments to the UNFCCC process indicate the +2°C limit will be exceeded, at least without deploying implausible amounts of negative emissions technology. The Rocky Mountain Institute has issued a new report, Positive Disruption which argues that … Continue reading
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Carbon Worshipers and Worship
Linking Michael Klare’s piece at Resilience: The Cult of Carbon.
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A response to “We might not be certain but …” at … and Then There’s Physics
I posted a response to a comment from the blog author at the ellipsis-loving … and Then There’s Physics. The figures didn’t make it into the comment, and, so, I am reproducing the intended comment in its entirety here. ATTP, … Continue reading
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Important update on my relationship with Dana-Farber and its Jimmy Fund Walk
See an important update. No more walk. I completely misjudged them.
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It’s the technology, not the brand
Just about a year ago, our home in Westwood began a march towards zero Carbon consumption, with heating, hot water heating, and even lawn mowing all converted to high efficiency electricity. As indicated at the time, our main automobile, a … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, BNEF, carbon dioxide, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, climate business, climate economics, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, electricity, energy storage, energy utilities, engineering, fossil fuel divestment, green tech, Green Tech Media, grid defection, Hyper Anthropocene, investment in wind and solar energy, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, marginal energy sources, Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, public utility commissions, PUCs, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, the energy of the people, the green century, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, Uncategorized, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon
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Uniform sampling of a disk, and implications for sampling the Internet
Suppose you want to uniformly sample from the interior of a circle of unit radius, in other words, from a unit disk. The “gut feel” way is to pick a random angle, , in radians uniformly from 0 to , … Continue reading
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A dystopian Massachusetts, as seen by Gov Charlie Baker and ESPECIALLY Speaker Robert DeLeo
The Worcester Business Journal published a long piece about “Massachusetts banking on natural gas, renewables to replace retiring plants”. I replied with this comment. (Update, 13th May 2016: By the way, the Worcester Business Journal rejected my comment.) First, the … Continue reading
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What’s Beef?
Posted in Anthropocene, bridge to nowhere, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate disruption, denial, disingenuity, education, exponential growth, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, humanism, Hyper Anthropocene, ignorance, obfuscating data, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, sociology, sustainability, Uncategorized, zero carbon
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“Where most of us live (with apologies to southern-hemisphere readers)” [reblog of Tamino]
Love the comparison with Berkeley Earth Surface Temperatures.
Posted in Anthropocene, carbon dioxide, citizen science, climate, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, denial, ecology, education, environment, forecasting, fossil fuels, geophysics, hiatus, Hyper Anthropocene, IPCC, mathematics, maths, meteorology, NOAA, open data, physics, prediction, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, statistics, Tamino, time series, Uncategorized, Wordpress
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Purity in Disney: Tangled’s Take on Premarital Sex
Many people don’t understand Disney, thinking “It’s a kids thing.” Sure, it was sold as that, beginning in the 1960s, maybe even not until the 1970s. But people also forget the cinematic and business history of cartoons. The first and … Continue reading
Desperate for a “Pause”
About more Denier cherry-picking.
Posted in climate, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate models, climate zombies, environment, geophysics, global warming, hiatus, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, meteorology, obfuscating data, open data, physics, rationality, reasonableness, reproducible research, science, science education, statistics, time series, Uncategorized
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The pending disintegration of the Larsen B Ice Shelf, Antarctica
Estimates place the disintegration of the remainder of this shelf within 10 years, after losing a chunk the size of the State of Rhode Island in 2002.
Climate Scientist Michael Mann
Professor Michael Mann is a personal hero of mine, principally because he connected, for me, the world of time series and principal components with climate science, showing there might be some small thing I can contribute to the discussion, and … Continue reading
Stone STOCHASTICITY Project
(Click on image for a larger one.) See the write-up for details.
Bayesian change-point analysis for global temperatures, 1850-2010
Professor Peter Congdon reports on two Bayesian models for global temperature shifts in his textbook, Applied Bayesian Modelling, as “Example 6.12: Global temperatures, 1850-2010”, on pages 252-253. A direct link is available online. The first is apparently original with Congdon, … Continue reading
It’s the Trend, Stupid
The matter chronicled in Tamino’s post is just more reason why the results of Fyfe, Gillet, and Zwiers at http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1972 which I wrote about at https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/05/29/warming-slowdown-2/ and https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/warming-slowdown-part-2/ look stranger and stranger. I increasingly think that the caution regarding ensembles … Continue reading
Posted in carbon dioxide, citizen science, climate, climate change, climate education, ecology, energy, environment, forecasting, geophysics, history, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, meteorology, NOAA, obfuscating data, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, science education, statistics, Uncategorized
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ecoquant
