Category Archives: Uncategorized

A response to “We might not be certain but …” at … and Then There’s Physics

I posted a response to a comment from the blog author at the ellipsis-loving … and Then There’s Physics. The figures didn’t make it into the comment, and, so, I am reproducing the intended comment in its entirety here. ATTP, … Continue reading

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Important update on my relationship with Dana-Farber and its Jimmy Fund Walk

See an important update. No more walk. I completely misjudged them.

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It’s the technology, not the brand

Just about a year ago, our home in Westwood began a march towards zero Carbon consumption, with heating, hot water heating, and even lawn mowing all converted to high efficiency electricity. As indicated at the time, our main automobile, a … Continue reading

Posted in Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, BNEF, carbon dioxide, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, climate business, climate economics, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, electricity, energy storage, energy utilities, engineering, fossil fuel divestment, green tech, Green Tech Media, grid defection, Hyper Anthropocene, investment in wind and solar energy, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, marginal energy sources, Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, public utility commissions, PUCs, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, the energy of the people, the green century, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, Uncategorized, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | 1 Comment

Uniform sampling of a disk, and implications for sampling the Internet

Suppose you want to uniformly sample from the interior of a circle of unit radius, in other words, from a unit disk. The “gut feel” way is to pick a random angle, , in radians uniformly from 0 to , … Continue reading

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A dystopian Massachusetts, as seen by Gov Charlie Baker and ESPECIALLY Speaker Robert DeLeo

The Worcester Business Journal published a long piece about “Massachusetts banking on natural gas, renewables to replace retiring plants”. I replied with this comment. (Update, 13th May 2016: By the way, the Worcester Business Journal rejected my comment.) First, the … Continue reading

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Pale Blue Dot

Originally posted on Hypergeometric :
Compassion, yes. Love, no.

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“Same Old Same Old” (Tamino)

Originally posted on Open Mind:
Here’s temperature anomaly in the USA (yearly averages for the “lower 48”) since 1880, according to NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration): Kinda looks like it’s heating up, doesn’t it? Of course the USA isn’t…

Posted in Carbon Worshipers, climate data, environment, geophysics, global warming, hiatus, history, meteorology, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, Tamino, temporal myopia, time series, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Advice for a young academic: imposter syndrome

Originally posted on Peter G Knight:
A great deal has been written in the last few years about so-called “imposter syndrome” – the feeling experienced by many young academics that somehow they don’t really belong in their new role as…

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FIRE

Originally posted on Open Mind:
Matt Pearce wrote an article for the LA Times in which he makes it sound as though the wildfire situation in the western U.S. is no big deal. He does so by pointing out that…

Posted in Anthropocene, climate, climate change, climate disruption, drought, ecology, environment, firefighters, forest fires, global warming, physics, rationality, risk, science, Tamino, temporal myopia, time series, Uncategorized, wild fires | Leave a comment

What’s Beef?

Originally posted on Open Mind:
https://youtu.be/Lf_CMw-docI Open Mind View original post

Posted in Anthropocene, bridge to nowhere, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate disruption, denial, disingenuity, education, exponential growth, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, humanism, Hyper Anthropocene, ignorance, obfuscating data, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, sociology, sustainability, Uncategorized, zero carbon | Leave a comment

“Where most of us live (with apologies to southern-hemisphere readers)” [reblog of Tamino]

Originally posted on Open Mind:
Almost all of us live on land, not the ocean. And, most of us live in the northern hemisphere, not the southern. For the benefit of most of us, let’s take a closer look at…

Posted in Anthropocene, carbon dioxide, citizen science, climate, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, denial, ecology, education, environment, forecasting, fossil fuels, geophysics, hiatus, Hyper Anthropocene, IPCC, mathematics, maths, meteorology, NOAA, open data, physics, prediction, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, statistics, Tamino, time series, Uncategorized, Wordpress | Leave a comment

Purity in Disney: Tangled’s Take on Premarital Sex

Originally posted on Outgrowing and Out-learning Religion:
Image taken from Tangled’s Wikipedia page at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tangled I may be in my twenties, but I absolutely love Disney. You may be wondering where that fits into a blog about religion and politics,…

Posted in Disney, humanism, religion, sex, Uncategorized, Unitarian Universalism, UU Humanists, Walt Disney Company | Leave a comment

Desperate for a “Pause”

Originally posted on Open Mind:
When it comes to temperature at Earth’s surface, with 2014 the hottest year on record and 2015 on pace to exceed even that, things are getting hot for those who deny that global warming is…

Posted in climate, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate models, climate zombies, environment, geophysics, global warming, hiatus, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, meteorology, obfuscating data, open data, physics, rationality, reasonableness, reproducible research, science, science education, statistics, time series, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

The pending disintegration of the Larsen B Ice Shelf, Antarctica

Estimates place the disintegration of the remainder of this shelf within 10 years, after losing a chunk the size of the State of Rhode Island in 2002.

Posted in Antarctica, carbon dioxide, climate, climate change, climate disruption, environment, geophysics, global warming, meteorology, NOAA, oceanography, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, science education, sea level rise, statistics, Uncategorized, WAIS | Leave a comment

Climate Scientist Michael Mann

Professor Michael Mann is a personal hero of mine, principally because he connected, for me, the world of time series and principal components with climate science, showing there might be some small thing I can contribute to the discussion, and … Continue reading

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Stone STOCHASTICITY Project

(Click on image for a larger one.) See the write-up for details.

Posted in ales, capricious gods, chance, chemistry, games of chance, maths, probability, risk, statistics, stochastics, the right to know, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Bayesian change-point analysis for global temperatures, 1850-2010

Professor Peter Congdon reports on two Bayesian models for global temperature shifts in his textbook, Applied Bayesian Modelling, as “Example 6.12: Global temperatures, 1850-2010”, on pages 252-253. A direct link is available online. The first is apparently original with Congdon, … Continue reading

Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, BUGS, climate, climate change, environment, forecasting, information theoretic statistics, mathematics, MCMC, meteorology, rationality, reasonableness, statistics, stochastic algorithms, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Shepherd skewers “climate zombie theories” …

Originally posted on Hypergeometric :
You know ’em: There’s been no warming for 15 years The Sun’s responsible CO2 is a trace gas in atmosphere and therefore can’t have anything to do with warming It’s been warmer before Climate is changing,…

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It’s the Trend, Stupid

Originally posted on Open Mind:
Both NASA and NOAA report 2014 as the hottest year on record. Despite the new #1, neither the news itself nor the response to it has surprised me. The news that last year was so…

Posted in carbon dioxide, citizen science, climate, climate change, climate education, ecology, energy, environment, forecasting, geophysics, history, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, meteorology, NOAA, obfuscating data, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, science education, statistics, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Recipe for a hiatus

Originally posted on Musings on Quantitative Palaeoecology:
Fake climate sceptics love the hiatus, the period since the strong El Niño in 1998 where global mean temperature has not increased according to their simplistic notions of global warming. The longer the “hiatus”,…

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Adieu, Science Of Doom; hallo QuantPalaeo, and Rabett Run

I had previously recommended the blog, Science Of Doom, in my links. There is a lot of careful science there, especially in its exposition of atmospheric radiation and some of the subtleties of interpreting common data, such as those pertaining … Continue reading

Posted in citizen science, climate, climate education, rationality, reasonableness, science, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

“A pause or not a pause, that is the question.”

Originally posted on Open Mind:
One day, a new data set is released. The rumor runs rampant that it’s annual average global temperature since 1980. Climate scientist “A” states that there is clearly a warming trend (shown by the red…

Posted in climate, climate education, environment, forecasting, geophysics, mathematical publishing, mathematics, maths, meteorology, obfuscating data, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, statistics, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Terminate Climate Change

Originally posted on Open Mind:
People may think of the Governator as an opportunist, but if you listen to him in this series, you see an education, and a desire to bring everyone along. We need a lot more of that. Open Mind View original … Continue reading

Posted in climate, climate education, environment, geophysics, meteorology, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, science, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Superstorm Sandy, in New York City

http://nyti.ms/1ruDF81, at The New York Times.

Posted in climate, climate education, economics, energy, environment, forecasting, history, meteorology, privacy, rationality, reasonableness, risk, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

“People are too insignificant to affect climate”

Setting aside outright fabrications (1) such as those promulgated by the Representative Lamar Smith (R-Texas), laughingly selected as the Chair of the House Committee on Science, a common claim in the Comment sections at The Hill and elsewhere is that … Continue reading

Posted in biology, Boston Ethical Society, carbon dioxide, citizenship, civilization, climate, conservation, ecology, environment, history, humanism, rationality, reasonableness, science, Uncategorized, Unitarian Universalism | 1 Comment

Speeding up your code

Originally posted on Dr Climate:
In today’s modern world of big data and high resolution numerical models, it’s pretty easy to write a data analysis script that would take days/weeks (or even longer) to run on your personal (or departmental)…

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‘We’re due for one; it’s time’

The title is a paraphrase. This post is written with some irritation at a NOAA meteorologist, (presumably Dr) Glen Field who, on camera, flaunts his poor knowledge of probability and statistics, and misleads the public in doing so. See this … Continue reading

Posted in Bayesian, Boston Ethical Society, climate, climate education, compassion, ecology, economics, engineering, environment, geoengineering, history, humanism, NASA, notes, obfuscating data, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The Coriolis Effect and Geostrophic Motion

Originally posted on The Science of Doom:
The coriolis effect isn’t the easiest thing to get your head around, but it is an essential element in understanding the large scale motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. If you roll…

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Foolish Line

Originally posted on Open Mind:
The Foolish Line Anthony Watts is on a very long list of those who ridicule the threat of sea level rise. As many others have done, he shows a tide gauge record (for Sewell’s Point,…

Posted in carbon dioxide, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate education, economics, education, forecasting, history, humanism, obfuscating data, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, statistics, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

What We’re Up Against

Originally posted on Open Mind:
There’s a post at WUWT which is really a cross-post of this by Harold Ambler. It claims that the NOAA temperature map for this February is “less than accurate.” The hubbub is about this map…

Posted in civilization, climate, climate education, education, environment, forecasting, geophysics, history, meteorology, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, science, Uncategorized | Leave a comment