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Tag Archives: John Authers

Martin Wolf’s “Climate Crisis”

Posted on 24 November 2013 by ecoquant
Posted in climate, climate education, economics, education, environment, politics, rationality | Tagged FT, John Authers, Martin Wolf | Leave a comment
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    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
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    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
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    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
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    • distributed solar and matching location to need
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    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
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    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
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    • "The Expert"
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
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    • And Then There's Physics
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    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
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    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
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    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
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    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
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    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
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    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
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    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
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    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
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    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
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  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter Arctic Ice: The Saga Continues
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