This would not occur if the natural gas had been assigned a stiff Carbon Tax.

Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

Blogroll
- Ted Dunning
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- American Statistical Association
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- London Review of Books
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- "The Expert"
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- All about models
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- James' Empty Blog
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Earle Wilson
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
climate change
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- World Weather Attribution
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Reanalyses.org
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- And Then There's Physics
- RealClimate
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- weather blocking patterns
- Risk and Well-Being
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Simple models of climate change
- David Appell's early climate science
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
Archives
Jan Galkowski


I love the environmental theme you have going on in your blog, I’m trying to promote mine. If you don’t mind, would you mind sharing it if I do the same for you?
EarthGuard97: It will depend upon the theme. I will not agree to mutually promote. I don’t blog for any kind of promotional purpose, nor do I blog to advocate a specific cause. I blog to convey science and climate mitigation policy. Occasionally I’ll make a post about some random topic that interests me, as I did regarding the Disney post.
So, I’ll look at your blog, and if I see something worth recommending, I will. But I gotta say, while your blog is good, it is not really aligned with my own themes.
My blog focuses on current events, social and environmental concepts and thoughts such as the modern existence of slavery and racism, Rachel Dolezal formerly of NAACP and her situation, etc.
Yes, as I said, those issues aren’t terribly central to my concerns.
Indeed, a I perceive problems with addressing climate change solutions and policy from a progressive political viewpoint is that these get wrapped up with other progressive agenda items, and packaged, and thus are unacceptable to some conservatives. For climate, this tends to occur with ideas about climate justice for example.
Now, I know that people of color and the poor are quite likely to be the most affected by the ramifications of climate change, and already are. And they have the least responsibility for creating the situation. Facts are, per the background of Laudato Si which were mentioned here, 40% of the CO2 emissions are generated by the 400 million most wealth individuals on Earth. Accordingly the 400 million most wealth on Earth should pay for that damage, at present, and historical damage, and that is the proper call. Also, there are mistaken ideas of how to help the poor and disenfranchised on the planet. Many see fossil fuels as necessary for and to that. I consistently maintain that’s silly and stupid: Fossil fuels demand the existence of extensive supply networks for them, and only the fossil fuel companies and their delivery companies make out when these are used. Instead, local wind and solar, village by village, make a lot more sense.
However, the risk and impending damage from climate change is severe and real. The message progressives need to learn is that we cannot afford to wait for the perfect solution for this. This is a civilization-threatening risk. There needs to be triage. We need to make choices. Moreover, I have found in my engagements with progressives that saying that the poor of faraway lands will suffer disproportionately makes them, typically and certainly comparably wealthy, view the matter as just another cause among a plethora of others. That is not helpful, even if the causes are worthy.
Instead, people need to understand that the risks are immediate, very real, and will impact them. Soon. Not just their kids and grandkids. And, I suspect, although the effects for the poor and disenfranchised of the world will be severe, especially in places where it will be too hot to work, countries having extended supply chains are particularly susceptible to climate-related disruptions. This will have impacts on living, reduce wealth, and, unfortunately, instill some panic. All these could have been avoided if we had, collectively, been more proactive in our planning and response.
But, we are where we are. We need everyone on board, conservatives as well as progressives. Without them we aren’t going to solve the problem. And the repercussions of failing to do that are just too monstrous to allow it, even for the wealthy on Earth, if only because, as things are, for better or ill, without the wealthy population, everyone is worse off.
Thanks for your interest. When you have posts which are in line with the point and interests of this blog, as I wrote before, I’ll consider linking them.