(Amendments on 25the April 2016.)
Sorry, folks, it’s It’s not just El Niño. El Niño’s have gotten bigger over the years.
Hat tip to Dan Satterfield, and, of course, to the wonderful folks at NOAA who collect, analyze, and curate all this data. Keep tabs on things at their central site.
And don’t even get me started on the hooligans who publicly disclaim NOAA’s scientific veracity. The people in question are not simply ignorant, they are downright evil, and probably engaging in fraud, using the legal sense of the term, right along with organizations like Exxon-Mobil. BEST is independent of government. So why does BEST agree so well with NOAA?
And, there’s this, a plot I constructed in 2014 from the open data:
The point is the nearly linear relationship between the two quantities, with time removed from the picture. Because time and dependent data sequences can be confusing to some, it’s often better to integrate it out, or collapse it.