And, from that Lefty Socialist rag, Forbes.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Number Cruncher Politics
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Awkward Botany
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Earle Wilson
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- "The Expert"
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Karl Broman
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- All about Sankey diagrams
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Risk and Well-Being
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- American Statistical Association
- London Review of Books
- Professor David Draper
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- What If
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- All about models
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Label Noise
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
climate change
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Risk and Well-Being
- Warming slowdown discussion
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- The Sunlight Economy
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- weather blocking patterns
- RealClimate
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Skeptical Science
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Climate model projections versus observations
- World Weather Attribution
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- And Then There's Physics
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
@scienceofdoom,
This is about capability, cost of plant, and speed of build-out, including battery storage, which is the new feature here. Y’need a synoptically scaled integrated grid per Jacobson’s plan with smart controls to make this work, I think.
I consider wind energy another kind of solar energy. That not only isn’t limited by day, in some cases it anti-correlates with solar.
The costs and cost curves for wind and solar are well known. See Lazard’s unsubsidized Levelizef Cost of Storage analysis for the storage part, per https://www.lazard.com/perspective/levelized-cost-of-energy-and-levelized-cost-of-storage-2018/.
A concern about building an energy system reliant substantially upon solar PV/solar thermal is that it precludes use of solar radiation management (“SRM”). I’m no fan of SRM, not at all. I think it’s terrible, because of collateral health effects and the dumping of heat back should it be interrupted. (For readers: Oceans have a lot of thermal capacity, but they also have a time constant for take-up. Interrupting SRM would dump a bunch of heat back which oceans would take up in the long term, but not immediately. Given that oceans take up 90%-94% of excess heat now, that could be a really big problem.) But in a context where it might be seriously thought about being deployed, it would be an act of desperation and large scale solar would nix that option.
How many hours of storage?
Suppose you are relying on this system for all your power, for example, you’ve replaced all your gas plants. Now you want to supply electricity to your consumers even if there are 3 days with minimal solar power.
How much storage is required? And what does it cost?