And, from that Lefty Socialist rag, Forbes.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- "The Expert"
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Professor David Draper
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- American Statistical Association
- Karl Broman
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Slice Sampling
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- London Review of Books
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Mertonian norms
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
climate change
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- The Sunlight Economy
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- SolarLove
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- RealClimate
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Earth System Models
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Spectra Energy exposed
- weather blocking patterns
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Warming slowdown discussion
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- David Appell's early climate science
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 
@scienceofdoom,
This is about capability, cost of plant, and speed of build-out, including battery storage, which is the new feature here. Y’need a synoptically scaled integrated grid per Jacobson’s plan with smart controls to make this work, I think.
I consider wind energy another kind of solar energy. That not only isn’t limited by day, in some cases it anti-correlates with solar.
The costs and cost curves for wind and solar are well known. See Lazard’s unsubsidized Levelizef Cost of Storage analysis for the storage part, per https://www.lazard.com/perspective/levelized-cost-of-energy-and-levelized-cost-of-storage-2018/.
A concern about building an energy system reliant substantially upon solar PV/solar thermal is that it precludes use of solar radiation management (“SRM”). I’m no fan of SRM, not at all. I think it’s terrible, because of collateral health effects and the dumping of heat back should it be interrupted. (For readers: Oceans have a lot of thermal capacity, but they also have a time constant for take-up. Interrupting SRM would dump a bunch of heat back which oceans would take up in the long term, but not immediately. Given that oceans take up 90%-94% of excess heat now, that could be a really big problem.) But in a context where it might be seriously thought about being deployed, it would be an act of desperation and large scale solar would nix that option.
How many hours of storage?
Suppose you are relying on this system for all your power, for example, you’ve replaced all your gas plants. Now you want to supply electricity to your consumers even if there are 3 days with minimal solar power.
How much storage is required? And what does it cost?