And, from that Lefty Socialist rag, Forbes.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Slice Sampling
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- What If
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- "The Expert"
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Awkward Botany
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Earle Wilson
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Mertonian norms
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Gavin Simpson
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- All about models
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- London Review of Books
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Risk and Well-Being
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
climate change
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Risk and Well-Being
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Ice and Snow
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- SolarLove
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- RealClimate
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Social Cost of Carbon
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
@scienceofdoom,
This is about capability, cost of plant, and speed of build-out, including battery storage, which is the new feature here. Y’need a synoptically scaled integrated grid per Jacobson’s plan with smart controls to make this work, I think.
I consider wind energy another kind of solar energy. That not only isn’t limited by day, in some cases it anti-correlates with solar.
The costs and cost curves for wind and solar are well known. See Lazard’s unsubsidized Levelizef Cost of Storage analysis for the storage part, per https://www.lazard.com/perspective/levelized-cost-of-energy-and-levelized-cost-of-storage-2018/.
A concern about building an energy system reliant substantially upon solar PV/solar thermal is that it precludes use of solar radiation management (“SRM”). I’m no fan of SRM, not at all. I think it’s terrible, because of collateral health effects and the dumping of heat back should it be interrupted. (For readers: Oceans have a lot of thermal capacity, but they also have a time constant for take-up. Interrupting SRM would dump a bunch of heat back which oceans would take up in the long term, but not immediately. Given that oceans take up 90%-94% of excess heat now, that could be a really big problem.) But in a context where it might be seriously thought about being deployed, it would be an act of desperation and large scale solar would nix that option.
How many hours of storage?
Suppose you are relying on this system for all your power, for example, you’ve replaced all your gas plants. Now you want to supply electricity to your consumers even if there are 3 days with minimal solar power.
How much storage is required? And what does it cost?