667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Tag Archives: ecomodernism

Good news, and a beacon of progress, with hope for more to come

Posted on 14 September 2020 by ecoquant

That’s Sundar Pichai, CEO, Google and Alphabet. Ørsted : “Love your home”

Posted in afforestation, agrivoltaics, Alphabet, argoecology, Ørsted, being carbon dioxide, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, carbon dioxide sequestration, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate mitigation, climate policy, ecocapitalism, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, electricity, emissions, engineering, fossil fuel divestment, Global Carbon Project, global warming, global weirding, Green New Deal, greenhouse gases, keep fossil fuels in ground, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, Mark Jacobson, moral leadership, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, Sundar Pichai, sustainability, technology, the green century, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon | Tagged Alphabet, cumulative carbon emissions, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, Google, solar domination, solar energy, solar pv, zero carbon energy | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • Professor David Draper
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Earle Wilson
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • American Statistical Association
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • Slice Sampling
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Ted Dunning
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • What If
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • All about models
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • London Review of Books
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Mertonian norms
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Label Noise
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
  • climate change

    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Skeptical Science
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Sea Change Boston
    • World Weather Attribution
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Ice and Snow
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • weather blocking patterns
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Simple models of climate change
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Earth System Models
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • RealClimate
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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