The matter chronicled in Tamino’s post is just more reason why the results of Fyfe, Gillet, and Zwiers at http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1972 which I wrote about at https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/05/29/warming-slowdown-2/ and https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/warming-slowdown-part-2/ look stranger and stranger. I increasingly think that the caution regarding ensembles exhibiting too little variance mentioned by Wilks, Toth, Zhug, Marchok, Palmer and others which I cited in https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/warming-slowdown-part-2/ was ignored in FGZ’s work, and that’s why their predictions are too tight.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- What If
- Professor David Draper
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Gavin Simpson
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Awkward Botany
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Karl Broman
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- "The Expert"
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Risk and Well-Being
- NCAR AtmosNews
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Label Noise
climate change
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- The Sunlight Economy
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Reanalyses.org
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- World Weather Attribution
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Skeptical Science
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- weather blocking patterns
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Risk and Well-Being
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- RealClimate
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Sea Change Boston
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Social Cost of Carbon
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- David Appell's early climate science
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
Archives
Jan Galkowski
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