It’s the Trend, Stupid

The matter chronicled in Tamino’s post is just more reason why the results of Fyfe, Gillet, and Zwiers at which I wrote about at and look stranger and stranger. I increasingly think that the caution regarding ensembles exhibiting too little variance mentioned by Wilks, Toth, Zhug, Marchok, Palmer and others which I cited in was ignored in FGZ’s work, and that’s why their predictions are too tight.

Open Mind

Both NASA and NOAA report 2014 as the hottest year on record. Despite the new #1, neither the news itself nor the response to it has surprised me.

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About ecoquant

See Retired data scientist and statistician. Now working projects in quantitative ecology and, specifically, phenology of Bryophyta and technical methods for their study.
This entry was posted in carbon dioxide, citizen science, climate, climate change, climate education, ecology, energy, environment, forecasting, geophysics, history, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, meteorology, NOAA, obfuscating data, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, science education, statistics, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

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