The matter chronicled in Tamino’s post is just more reason why the results of Fyfe, Gillet, and Zwiers at http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1972 which I wrote about at https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/05/29/warming-slowdown-2/ and https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/warming-slowdown-part-2/ look stranger and stranger. I increasingly think that the caution regarding ensembles exhibiting too little variance mentioned by Wilks, Toth, Zhug, Marchok, Palmer and others which I cited in https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/warming-slowdown-part-2/ was ignored in FGZ’s work, and that’s why their predictions are too tight.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Awkward Botany
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Risk and Well-Being
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Karl Broman
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- All about models
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Label Noise
- What If
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Gabriel's staircase
- NCAR AtmosNews
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
climate change
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Reanalyses.org
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- SolarLove
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Sea Change Boston
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- RealClimate
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- And Then There's Physics
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Earth System Models
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
