The matter chronicled in Tamino’s post is just more reason why the results of Fyfe, Gillet, and Zwiers at http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1972 which I wrote about at https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/05/29/warming-slowdown-2/ and https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/warming-slowdown-part-2/ look stranger and stranger. I increasingly think that the caution regarding ensembles exhibiting too little variance mentioned by Wilks, Toth, Zhug, Marchok, Palmer and others which I cited in https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/warming-slowdown-part-2/ was ignored in FGZ’s work, and that’s why their predictions are too tight.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Professor David Draper
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Gavin Simpson
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Ted Dunning
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- "The Expert"
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- American Statistical Association
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Gabriel's staircase
- Earle Wilson
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Awkward Botany
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Karl Broman
climate change
- RealClimate
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- David Appell's early climate science
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Social Cost of Carbon
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Sea Change Boston
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- The Sunlight Economy
- And Then There's Physics
- Ice and Snow
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Simple models of climate change
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- weather blocking patterns
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Earth System Models
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Jacobson WWS literature index
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
