667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Category Archives: Extinction REbellion

Rationale for XR, short term

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, carbon dioxide, climate change, climate disruption, climate emergency, climate grief, ecocapitalism, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future | Leave a comment

“I don’t want my grandchildren to suffer” XR

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, carbon dioxide, climate activism, climate disruption, climate emergency, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, Greta Thunberg | Leave a comment

Stephen Fry on XR

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, climate activism, climate disruption, climate education, climate hawk, climate justice, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, zero carbon | Leave a comment

James O’Brien changes his mind : XR is changing minds!

Posted on 7 September 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #youthvgov, climate disruption, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, XR | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Earle Wilson
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • What If
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • American Statistical Association
    • London Review of Books
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Slice Sampling
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Professor David Draper
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • "The Expert"
    • Karl Broman
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Ted Dunning
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
  • climate change

    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • SolarLove
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • weather blocking patterns
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Earth System Models
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Ice and Snow
  • Archives

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  • Recent Posts

    • Adobe Lightroom for scientific photos 1 December 2021
    • Stranded Assets Nightmare 29 November 2021
    • Botkin’s Discordant Harmonies, a comment 28 November 2021
    • ‘Keystone Pipeline Developers Seek $15 Billion From U.S. for Cancellation’ 23 November 2021
    • My favorite presentation on climate disruption these days 23 November 2021
    • Photo of the week: Repeatedly distressed Mnium hornum 19 November 2021
    • Gee, if all maths classes were like this, they’d be exhausting … 18 November 2021
    • “Aggregating the harms of fossil fuels” 17 November 2021
    • Awesome. 17 November 2021
    • Price the Roads 16 November 2021
    • Fecklessness 15 November 2021
    • COP26, rest in agony 14 November 2021
    • David Wallace Wells …The Uninhabitable Earth and its implications 13 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break : Signs of Life 13 November 2021
    • Don’t like high or volatile petrol prices? Get an EV to replace your gas-guzzling thang 13 November 2021
    • Clearly not consumption based … but, well … 12 November 2021
    • We are living through the closing door of climate targets 12 November 2021
    • Sunday’s Storms Made Gas More Expensive, Thanks To Yet More East Bay Refinery Flare-Ups 11 November 2021
    • All about net ZERO 10 November 2021
    • Words from Mother Jones 9 November 2021
    • Well, brevity in argument is not something to be expected from training at new, Palantir-supported University of Austin 8 November 2021
    • ‘Will Ford do away with the dealer model?’ 8 November 2021
    • Hydrogen production from curtailed generation 8 November 2021
    • Losing sight of the big picture 8 November 2021
    • Stuart Stevens: Covid a Stress Test, and So Far We’re Failing 7 November 2021
    • The Truth about Sea Level Rise 2 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break: Pink Floyd, David Bowie, Comfortably Numb 2 November 2021
    • Welcome to your future 1 November 2021
    • “They are liars … You can have the best capitalism in the world, but if people are dead, they’re dead. It’s over.” 1 November 2021
    • “I have given up. I am here to talk about the science.” 1 November 2021
    • “How should children learn about climate change?” 30 October 2021
    • Future liability for fossil fuel energy producers and conveyors 29 October 2021
    • Comment on “Federal policy can drive the solar industry… but still may fall short” 28 October 2021
    • Yeah, like many aspects of the biosphere, forests and their contribution to sequestering Carbon is complicated 21 October 2021
    • Dr Gilbz 20 October 2021
    • In the field 19 October 2021
    • Climate Facts from James Hansen and Makiko Sato Ahead of COP26 14 October 2021
    • An Open Letter from U.S. Scientists Imploring President Biden to End the Fossil Fuel Era 9 October 2021
    • “It’s the exact opposite.” 7 October 2021
    • Rationale for XR, short term 5 October 2021
    • “I don’t want my grandchildren to suffer” XR 5 October 2021
    • Stopping climate disruption and eating cookies 5 October 2021
    • Myths 5 October 2021
    • Stephen Fry on XR 5 October 2021
    • A very recent Bill McKibben on Where We Are 1 October 2021
    • “A political dynamic …” 1 October 2021
    • Meet Solkjøring 28 September 2021
    • Greta, YouthCOP, 2021 28 September 2021
    • First Contact, and the Long Now Foundation 26 September 2021
    • Vineyard Sound, Rhode Island Sound, August, 2021 17 September 2021
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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