667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Category Archives: Extinction REbellion

Rationale for XR, short term

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, carbon dioxide, climate change, climate disruption, climate emergency, climate grief, ecocapitalism, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future | Leave a comment

“I don’t want my grandchildren to suffer” XR

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, carbon dioxide, climate activism, climate disruption, climate emergency, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, Greta Thunberg | Leave a comment

Stephen Fry on XR

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, climate activism, climate disruption, climate education, climate hawk, climate justice, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, zero carbon | Leave a comment

James O’Brien changes his mind : XR is changing minds!

Posted on 7 September 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #youthvgov, climate disruption, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, XR | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Slice Sampling
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Earle Wilson
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • What If
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • London Review of Books
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
  • climate change

    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Reanalyses.org
    • World Weather Attribution
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Ice and Snow
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • Skeptical Science
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • weather blocking patterns
    • SolarLove
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
  • Archives

  • Jan Galkowski

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  • Blog Stats

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  • Recent Posts

    • Adobe Lightroom for scientific photos 1 December 2021
    • Stranded Assets Nightmare 29 November 2021
    • Botkin’s Discordant Harmonies, a comment 28 November 2021
    • ‘Keystone Pipeline Developers Seek $15 Billion From U.S. for Cancellation’ 23 November 2021
    • My favorite presentation on climate disruption these days 23 November 2021
    • Photo of the week: Repeatedly distressed Mnium hornum 19 November 2021
    • Gee, if all maths classes were like this, they’d be exhausting … 18 November 2021
    • “Aggregating the harms of fossil fuels” 17 November 2021
    • Awesome. 17 November 2021
    • Price the Roads 16 November 2021
    • Fecklessness 15 November 2021
    • COP26, rest in agony 14 November 2021
    • David Wallace Wells …The Uninhabitable Earth and its implications 13 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break : Signs of Life 13 November 2021
    • Don’t like high or volatile petrol prices? Get an EV to replace your gas-guzzling thang 13 November 2021
    • Clearly not consumption based … but, well … 12 November 2021
    • We are living through the closing door of climate targets 12 November 2021
    • Sunday’s Storms Made Gas More Expensive, Thanks To Yet More East Bay Refinery Flare-Ups 11 November 2021
    • All about net ZERO 10 November 2021
    • Words from Mother Jones 9 November 2021
    • Well, brevity in argument is not something to be expected from training at new, Palantir-supported University of Austin 8 November 2021
    • ‘Will Ford do away with the dealer model?’ 8 November 2021
    • Hydrogen production from curtailed generation 8 November 2021
    • Losing sight of the big picture 8 November 2021
    • Stuart Stevens: Covid a Stress Test, and So Far We’re Failing 7 November 2021
    • The Truth about Sea Level Rise 2 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break: Pink Floyd, David Bowie, Comfortably Numb 2 November 2021
    • Welcome to your future 1 November 2021
    • “They are liars … You can have the best capitalism in the world, but if people are dead, they’re dead. It’s over.” 1 November 2021
    • “I have given up. I am here to talk about the science.” 1 November 2021
    • “How should children learn about climate change?” 30 October 2021
    • Future liability for fossil fuel energy producers and conveyors 29 October 2021
    • Comment on “Federal policy can drive the solar industry… but still may fall short” 28 October 2021
    • Yeah, like many aspects of the biosphere, forests and their contribution to sequestering Carbon is complicated 21 October 2021
    • Dr Gilbz 20 October 2021
    • In the field 19 October 2021
    • Climate Facts from James Hansen and Makiko Sato Ahead of COP26 14 October 2021
    • An Open Letter from U.S. Scientists Imploring President Biden to End the Fossil Fuel Era 9 October 2021
    • “It’s the exact opposite.” 7 October 2021
    • Rationale for XR, short term 5 October 2021
    • “I don’t want my grandchildren to suffer” XR 5 October 2021
    • Stopping climate disruption and eating cookies 5 October 2021
    • Myths 5 October 2021
    • Stephen Fry on XR 5 October 2021
    • A very recent Bill McKibben on Where We Are 1 October 2021
    • “A political dynamic …” 1 October 2021
    • Meet Solkjøring 28 September 2021
    • Greta, YouthCOP, 2021 28 September 2021
    • First Contact, and the Long Now Foundation 26 September 2021
    • Vineyard Sound, Rhode Island Sound, August, 2021 17 September 2021
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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