Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Karl Broman
- James' Empty Blog
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Gavin Simpson
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Risk and Well-Being
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Professor David Draper
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Label Noise
- Earle Wilson
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- "The Expert"
climate change
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Earth System Models
- Simple models of climate change
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- SolarLove
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Climate model projections versus observations
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Skeptical Science
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Ice and Snow
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: #youthvgov
We are living through the closing door of climate targets
Where we are now, and what we have to do to limit to +2C: And, as far as +1.5C goes, it’s gone. Or at least that target can no longer met without invoking the fantasyland of negative emissions. There isn’t … Continue reading
Losing sight of the big picture
When chasing political solutions to mitigating climate disruption, it’s long been tempting to go after relatively easy quick wins in the short term rather than facing up to the real problem: Emissions of Carbon Dioxide. So, in a world where … Continue reading
Posted in #youthvgov, air source heat pump, alternatives to the Green New Deal, American Solar Energy Society, an ignorant American public, an uncaring American public, Blackbody radiation, Bloomberg Green, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, carbon dioxide, children as political casualties, climate economics, climate emergency, climate hawk, corporate litigation on damage from fossil fuel emissions, Cult of Carbon, decentralized electric power generation, development as anti-ecology, ecopragmatism, electric vehicles, electrical energy engineering, fossil fuel divestment, fossil fuel infrastructure, fossil fuels, Glen Peters, grid defection, heat pump, Hermann Scheer, Humans have a lot to answer for, investment in wind and solar energy, James Hansen, Juliana v United States, keep fossil fuels in ground, Ken Caldeira, Mark Jacobson, mitigating climate disruption, On being Carbon Dioxide, organizational failures, Our Children's Trust, photovoltaics, Ray Pierrehumbert, solar democracy, solar domination, solar power, solar revolution, stranded assets, Susan Solomon, The Demon Haunted World, the green century, the tragedy of our present civilization, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, wishful environmentalism
Tagged climate disruption, lack of climate ambition, short-lived climate pollutants
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Future liability for fossil fuel energy producers and conveyors
While I don’t entirely have the optimism which Professor Pearce expresses for the ability of climate models to be as specific as he describes, I am very optimistic that real time remote sensing resources, namely satellites, will get good enough … Continue reading
Posted in #youthvgov, an ignorant American public, being carbon dioxide, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, carbon dioxide, climate disruption, climate economics, climate emergency, coastal investment risks, corporate litigation on damage from fossil fuel emissions, corporate responsibility, global warming, risk, Risky Business
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Jeremy Grantham credits Greta Thunberg and XR for pressuring governments to finally do something to cut emissions
The Energy Transition Show with Chris Nelder has recently become my favorite podcast. I eagerly await each new episode and, as a paying subscriber, I enjoy the delightfully long and geeky assessments, analyses, and opinions from really stellar guests. There … Continue reading
Greta Thunberg, in July 2021
(The above was changed from the YouTube video on 3rd July 2021 because the YouTube video was cracked or altered to switch to an Austrian leader or politician speaking nonsense instead of the last part of Ms Thunberg’s address.) (And … Continue reading
Posted in #climatestrike, #sunrise, #youthvgov, being carbon dioxide, Bloomberg Green, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, Carbon Tax, children as political casualties, climate activism, Climate Adam, climate disruption, climate economics, climate emergency, extreme events, fossil fuels, global warming, Green New Deal, greenhouse gases, Greta Thunberg
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Carbon Dioxide reaches levels not recorded in 4 million years. Connecticut Republicans are guilty of child abuse.
And Connecticut Republican Senate Major Leader Kevin Kelly, anytime anyone emits any greenhouse gas, they land a punch in the face of some grandchild alive today. They do that by burning those gallons of gasoline whose price you so want … Continue reading
Discordant Harmonies: Goals for a Holiday in Retirement
Claire and I are lucky enough to have won “Escape to the Cape” at the annual auction of our congregation, First Parish in Needham, courtesy of Muriel and Tom Gehman. We’ll be Tesla-ing down to Hyannisport this week to indulge. … Continue reading
‘It begins with attitude’, and about an understated victory
Bill Nye’s Climate Meltdown, introducing Professor Mark Z Jacobson of Stanford University. And Climate Adam reviews a climate action breakthrough:
Posted in #youthvgov, Bill Nye, Bloomberg Green, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, climate activism, Climate Adam, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate education, climate emergency, climate mitigation, climate policy, ClimateAdam, ecomodernism, fossil fuel divestment, fossil fuels, global blinding, global warming, global weirding, Mark Jacobson
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Where We Be
From David E Rovella, Managing Editor, Bloomberg News: The past year has witnessed millions die in a pandemic, a global economic downturn and political ferment fueled by extremists. But none of those things mean the biggest antagonist of the planet’s … Continue reading
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, an ignorant American public, an uncaring American public, Bill McKibben, Bloomberg Green, bridge to somewhere, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, climate disruption, Cult of Carbon, decentralized electric power generation, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, geophysics, global warming, zero carbon
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Book: 100% Clean, Renewable Energy and Storage for Everything
Professor Mark Z Jacobson‘s latest marvelous book, 100% Clean, Renewable Energy and Storage for Everything, summarized in a great one hour interview.
Posted in #youthvgov, an uncaring American public, Ørsted, being carbon dioxide, Benji Backer, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, BNEF, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, climate activism, climate business, climate economics, climate education, climate hawk, climate mitigation, climate policy, control theory, decentralized electric power generation, distributed generation, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, emergent organization, fossil fuel divestment, Green New Deal, grid defection, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, investments, Karl Ragabo, keep fossil fuels in ground, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, local generation, local self reliance, Mark Jacobson, Michael Osborne, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Sankey diagram, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, stranded assets, the energy of the people, the green century, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon
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The U.S. Constitution is a remarkable construct …
… well suited for the early 19th century. Updated 2020-12-05 The New York Times reports today that the United States Supreme Court … late Wednesday night barred restrictions on religious services in New York that Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo had … Continue reading
Codium fragile for Saturday, 21st November 2020
Great Web sites here, all about truly preserving Walpole for the long term, rather than in pursuit of myopic interests: http://walpolepreservationalliance.org http://walpole-preservation-alliance.org http://walpolepreservationalliance.net http://walpolepreservationalliance.com http://walpolepreservationalliance.co http://walpolepreservationalliance.info http://walpolepreservationalliance.earth How Norfolk County preserves forest. Choices. Walpole Preservation Alliance
Posted in #climatestrike, #sunrise, #youthvgov, agrivoltaics, American Solar Energy Society, an ignorant American public, an uncaring American public, anti-science, being carbon dioxide, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bollocks, bridge to nowhere, bridge to somewhere, Carbon Cycle, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide sequestration, Carbon Tax, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, climate activism, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate justice, climate mitigation, climate nightmares, climate policy, Commonwealth of Massachusetts, Cult of Carbon, decentralized electric power generation, development as anti-ecology, distributed generation, DNS, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, electricity markets, emissions, evidence, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, Green Tea Coalition, Greta Thunberg, Hermann Scheer, Humans have a lot to answer for, indigenous peoples, Internet, investment in wind and solar energy, Juliana v United States, keep fossil fuels in ground, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, local generation, local self reliance, luckwarmers, mitigating climate disruption, On being Carbon Dioxide, Our Children's Trust, Principles of Planetary Climate, public welfare, regulatory capture, risk, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, stranded assets, the green century, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, tragedy of the horizon, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wishful environmentalism, zero carbon
Tagged Walpole Preservation Alliance
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“Climate Hope” from Climate Adam
Rainmaker, a little faith for hire Rainmaker, the house is on fire Rainmaker, take everything you have Sometimes folks need to believe in something so bad, so bad, so bad They’ll hire a rainmaker Springsteen, 2020 (h/t Andrew Gottlieb, Association … Continue reading
Posted in #youthvgov, bridge to somewhere, climate activism, Climate Adam, climate business, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate grief, climate hawk, Climate Hope, climate mitigation, climate nightmares, climate policy, climate science, ClimateAdam, Debbie Dooley, distributed generation, Eaarth, ecocapitalism, Ecology Action, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, Emily Shuckburgh, global warming, Green Tea Coalition, Karl Ragabo, Mark Carney, Mark Jacobson, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, the green century, Tony Seba, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon
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Wake Up
Posted in #youthvgov, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, climate activism, climate business, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate grief, climate justice, climate mitigation, climate nightmares, climate policy, climate science, coastal communities, coastal investment risks, ecocapitalism, ecological disruption, ecological services, Ecology Action, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, ecopragmatist, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, Greta Thunberg, Humans have a lot to answer for, investment in wind and solar energy, James Hansen, John Holdren, Joseph Schumpeter, Juliana v United States, keep fossil fuels in ground, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, liberal climate deniers, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, Talk Solar, the energy of the people, the green century, Tony Seba, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon
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“A Matter of Degrees”
“A Matter of Degrees” is a new climate change mitigation podcast, created and produced by Drs Katharine Wilkinson and Leah Stokes. The first episode, “Give up your climate guilt“, is auspicious. Check it out. Fair disclosure: I have been pretty … Continue reading
What we’ve done and do to ourselves
Who do you think carries most of the burden for fixing the problem? Action. “We have work to do.” (Bill Nye)
Ted Rall’s “Left, Center and Right: We’re All in Denial About Climate Change”
(Friend, fellow congregant, and committee chair Will Rico of First Parish in Needham sent me this highly appropriate link.) Ted Rall argues at Counterpunch that: Those who deny that climate change is real are engaging in what psychologists call “simple … Continue reading
Posted in #climatestrike, #sunrise, #youthvgov, adaptation, agroecology, an uncaring American public, being carbon dioxide, Bill Maher, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, capitalism, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, civilization, clean disruption, climate activism, climate business, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate education, climate grief, climate mitigation, climate policy, consumption, Cult of Carbon, development as anti-ecology, distributed generation, ecological disruption, ecological services, Ecology Action, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, energy efficiency, First Parish in Needham, FiveThirtyEight, fossil fuel divestment, global blinding, Global Carbon Project, global warming, global weirding, greenhouse gases, greenwashing, Greta Thunberg, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, keep fossil fuels in ground, life cycle sustainability analysis, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, zero carbon
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“How dare you pretend …!”
“Change is coming, whether you like it or not.” Update, 2019-09-24 Some reaction, including some from the fiendishly uncivilized. As Ms Thunberg says, this means this movement is having an impact, and Knowles and 45 are afraid.
Posted in #climatestrike, #sunrise, #youthvgov, American Association for the Advancement of Science, an ignorant American public, an uncaring American public, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, climate disruption, climate economics, climate grief, ecological disruption, Ecology Action, global warming
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Everything counts. Growth must end.
Keep fossil fuels in the ground. Fund restoration of natural processes. Protect natural systems that are left. Stop development of new land tracts, including new lots and subdivisions for housing and commercial development, especially expensive housing. A history of degrowth
Posted in #climatestrike, #sunrise, #youthvgov, afforestation, an ignorant American public, an uncaring American public, being carbon dioxide, bridge to nowhere, clean disruption, climate disruption, décroissance, degrowth, destructive economic development, development as anti-ecology, ecological disruption, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, fragmentation of ecosystems, global warming, global weirding, keep fossil fuels in ground
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Alex Steffen on The Climate Strike
Excerpted from The Nearly Now at Medium, by Alex Steffen. “You’re right to strike; you’re right to march; you’re right to feel your fear and rage and longing for a better world. You are the victims of a terrible intergenerational … Continue reading
Posted in #climatestrike, #sunrise, #youthvgov, Alex Steffen, American Solar Energy Society, an ignorant American public, an uncaring American public, Arctic amplification, Boston Ethical Society, bridge to somewhere, carbon dioxide, climate disruption, climate justice, climate mitigation, ClimateAdam, Ecology Action, global blinding, global warming, global weirding, Greta Thunberg, insurance, Jennifer Francis, Juliana v United States, life cycle sustainability analysis, On being Carbon Dioxide, photovoltaics, science, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, sustainability, sustainable landscaping, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon
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The state of the science: “Heißzeit” … where we are heading.
If you do not change direction, you may end up where you are heading. ― Lao Tzu Professor Johan Rockström, again. Yeah, and that makes me feel, this way … (Ricardo Maranhão with Indiara Sfair) (Indiara Sfair and Joe Flip) … Continue reading
Posted in #youthvgov, adaptation, alternatives to the Green New Deal, Amory Lovins, an uncaring American public, Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to somewhere, Buckminster Fuller, Canettes Blues Band, carbon dioxide, climate business, climate disruption, climate economics, climate justice, climate policy, corporate citizenship, corporate litigation on damage from fossil fuel emissions, corporate responsibility, Cult of Carbon, Daniel Kahneman, ecocapitalism, ecomodernism, ecopragmatism, environmental law, fossil fuel divestment, global warming, green tech, greenhouse gases, Hermann Scheer, Humans have a lot to answer for, Hyper Anthropocene, Indiara Sfair, Mark Jacobson, Nature's Trust, science, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, solar revolution, Spaceship Earth, the green century, the tragedy of our present civilization, the value of financial assets, zero carbon
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#AllEyesOnJuliana👀
Juliana v. US June 4 Hearing at Ninth Circuit The constitutional youth climate lawsuit, Juliana v. United States, will be heard before the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals in Portland, Oregon. Let’s make history and have this be the most … Continue reading
Posted in #youthvgov, Anthropocene, carbon dioxide, children as political casualties, climate, climate activism, climate change, climate education, climate justice, First Parish in Needham, Global Carbon Project, global warming, James Hansen, Juliana v United States, Kelsey Juliana, Levi Draheim, Mary C Wood, Our Children's Trust, UNFCCC, Unitarian Universalism, UU Ministry for Earth, Xiuhtezcatl, ``The tide is risin'/And so are we''
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ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 