667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Category Archives: Fridays for Future

Rationale for XR, short term

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, carbon dioxide, climate change, climate disruption, climate emergency, climate grief, ecocapitalism, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future | Leave a comment

“I don’t want my grandchildren to suffer” XR

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, carbon dioxide, climate activism, climate disruption, climate emergency, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, Greta Thunberg | Leave a comment

Stopping climate disruption and eating cookies

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, carbon dioxide, Climate Adam, Fridays for Future | Leave a comment

Stephen Fry on XR

Posted on 5 October 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, climate activism, climate disruption, climate education, climate hawk, climate justice, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, zero carbon | Leave a comment

Greta, YouthCOP, 2021

Posted on 28 September 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #climatestrike, #youthvgov, climate activism, climate emergency, climate hawk, climate justice, Fridays for Future, greenhouse gases, Greta Thunberg, Our Children's Trust | Leave a comment

James O’Brien changes his mind : XR is changing minds!

Posted on 7 September 2021 by ecoquant
Posted in #youthvgov, climate disruption, Extinction REbellion, Fridays for Future, XR | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Awkward Botany
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Ted Dunning
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Mertonian norms
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • Slice Sampling
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Gavin Simpson
  • climate change

    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • SolarLove
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • weather blocking patterns
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • RealClimate
    • Skeptical Science
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • Simple models of climate change
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Reanalyses.org
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
  • Archives

  • Jan Galkowski

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  • Blog Stats

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  • Recent Posts

    • Adobe Lightroom for scientific photos 1 December 2021
    • Stranded Assets Nightmare 29 November 2021
    • Botkin’s Discordant Harmonies, a comment 28 November 2021
    • ‘Keystone Pipeline Developers Seek $15 Billion From U.S. for Cancellation’ 23 November 2021
    • My favorite presentation on climate disruption these days 23 November 2021
    • Photo of the week: Repeatedly distressed Mnium hornum 19 November 2021
    • Gee, if all maths classes were like this, they’d be exhausting … 18 November 2021
    • “Aggregating the harms of fossil fuels” 17 November 2021
    • Awesome. 17 November 2021
    • Price the Roads 16 November 2021
    • Fecklessness 15 November 2021
    • COP26, rest in agony 14 November 2021
    • David Wallace Wells …The Uninhabitable Earth and its implications 13 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break : Signs of Life 13 November 2021
    • Don’t like high or volatile petrol prices? Get an EV to replace your gas-guzzling thang 13 November 2021
    • Clearly not consumption based … but, well … 12 November 2021
    • We are living through the closing door of climate targets 12 November 2021
    • Sunday’s Storms Made Gas More Expensive, Thanks To Yet More East Bay Refinery Flare-Ups 11 November 2021
    • All about net ZERO 10 November 2021
    • Words from Mother Jones 9 November 2021
    • Well, brevity in argument is not something to be expected from training at new, Palantir-supported University of Austin 8 November 2021
    • ‘Will Ford do away with the dealer model?’ 8 November 2021
    • Hydrogen production from curtailed generation 8 November 2021
    • Losing sight of the big picture 8 November 2021
    • Stuart Stevens: Covid a Stress Test, and So Far We’re Failing 7 November 2021
    • The Truth about Sea Level Rise 2 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break: Pink Floyd, David Bowie, Comfortably Numb 2 November 2021
    • Welcome to your future 1 November 2021
    • “They are liars … You can have the best capitalism in the world, but if people are dead, they’re dead. It’s over.” 1 November 2021
    • “I have given up. I am here to talk about the science.” 1 November 2021
    • “How should children learn about climate change?” 30 October 2021
    • Future liability for fossil fuel energy producers and conveyors 29 October 2021
    • Comment on “Federal policy can drive the solar industry… but still may fall short” 28 October 2021
    • Yeah, like many aspects of the biosphere, forests and their contribution to sequestering Carbon is complicated 21 October 2021
    • Dr Gilbz 20 October 2021
    • In the field 19 October 2021
    • Climate Facts from James Hansen and Makiko Sato Ahead of COP26 14 October 2021
    • An Open Letter from U.S. Scientists Imploring President Biden to End the Fossil Fuel Era 9 October 2021
    • “It’s the exact opposite.” 7 October 2021
    • Rationale for XR, short term 5 October 2021
    • “I don’t want my grandchildren to suffer” XR 5 October 2021
    • Stopping climate disruption and eating cookies 5 October 2021
    • Myths 5 October 2021
    • Stephen Fry on XR 5 October 2021
    • A very recent Bill McKibben on Where We Are 1 October 2021
    • “A political dynamic …” 1 October 2021
    • Meet Solkjøring 28 September 2021
    • Greta, YouthCOP, 2021 28 September 2021
    • First Contact, and the Long Now Foundation 26 September 2021
    • Vineyard Sound, Rhode Island Sound, August, 2021 17 September 2021
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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