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Für alle ohne maske

Posted on 15 October 2020 by ecoquant

h/t Professor Christian Robert.

Posted in COVID-19, pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 | Tagged Berlin, COVID-19, face-mask, Germany, mask-enforcement, pandemic, pandemic-policy, SARS-CoV-2, street-advertising | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

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    • Professor David Draper
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • What If
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
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    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
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    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Gavin Simpson
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    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
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    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
  • climate change

    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • RealClimate
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Warming slowdown discussion
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • Earth System Models
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Sea Change Boston
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • weather blocking patterns
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • SolarLove
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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