667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: face-mask

Für alle ohne maske

Posted on 15 October 2020 by ecoquant

h/t Professor Christian Robert.

Posted in COVID-19, pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 | Tagged Berlin, COVID-19, face-mask, Germany, mask-enforcement, pandemic, pandemic-policy, SARS-CoV-2, street-advertising | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

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    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Karl Broman
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • London Review of Books
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • What If
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Gavin Simpson
    • "The Expert"
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Mertonian norms
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Label Noise
  • climate change

    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Ice and Snow
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • SolarLove
    • World Weather Attribution
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • RealClimate
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Sea Change Boston
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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