667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: face-mask

Für alle ohne maske

Posted on 15 October 2020 by ecoquant

h/t Professor Christian Robert.

Posted in COVID-19, pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 | Tagged Berlin, COVID-19, face-mask, Germany, mask-enforcement, pandemic, pandemic-policy, SARS-CoV-2, street-advertising | Leave a comment
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    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
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    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Professor David Draper
    • Label Noise
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • All about models
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • What If
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    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
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    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
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    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
  • climate change

    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
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    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • RealClimate
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • Skeptical Science
    • SolarLove
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
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    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • weather blocking patterns
    • And Then There's Physics
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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