Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- London Review of Books
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Karl Broman
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- "The Expert"
- Earle Wilson
- American Statistical Association
- Gabriel's staircase
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Ted Dunning
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- James' Empty Blog
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- All about models
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
climate change
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- World Weather Attribution
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Spectra Energy exposed
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Reanalyses.org
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- SolarLove
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Social Cost of Carbon
- weather blocking patterns
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- The Sunlight Economy
- David Appell's early climate science
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Ice and Snow
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: SARS-CoV-2
Meet your sparring partner
(Credits: Professor Wendy Barclay of Imperial College London and Professor Tom Burgoyne of University College London)
Posted in COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2
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ICL’s Gast, Openshaw, Riley, Barclay on COVID-19 by SARS-CoV-2 : Disease, transmission, variants, and all that
Posted in COVID-19, epidemiology, ICL, SARS-CoV-2
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The engagement with SARS-CoV-2: Where we stand in the United States, in curated numbers
From the COVID Tracking Project at The Atlantic Monthly, a 23rd December 2020 report: California is out of control. As I’ve noted elsewhere and the COVID Tracking Project reminds, sourcing cases, deaths, positive test rate, and hospitalization data is tricky. … Continue reading
“No, COVID-19 Is not the Flu”
Q&A with Andrew Pekosz, PhD, Johns Hopkins University: Q: What would you say to someone who insists to you that COVID-19 is “just the flu”? A: Since December 2019, COVID-19 has killed more people in the U.S. than influenza has … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2
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dead bodies vs economic integrity
From The Financial Times.
Für alle ohne maske
h/t Professor Christian Robert.
Posted in COVID-19, pandemic, SARS-CoV-2
Tagged Berlin, COVID-19, face-mask, Germany, mask-enforcement, pandemic, pandemic-policy, SARS-CoV-2, street-advertising
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“Babbage: Pandemic’s progress”
From at The Economist, a podcast episode: Pandemic’s progress Sep 23 2020 28 mins As the global covid-19 death toll nears 1 million, The Economist’s healthcare correspondent and health policy editor explain what scientists are still investigating about the virus, … Continue reading
Posted in pandemic, podcasts, SARS-CoV-2
Tagged Babbage, pandemic response, The Economist
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‘The virus is their new hoax’
And note that the variant of SARS-CoV-2 which has taken over the world is a more virulent, more damaging, and more infectious variant of the virus which infected Wuhan. We visualized COVID’s spread across every US state and county. Check … Continue reading
Has maintaining economic growth been worth it?
From Our World in Data article “No sign of a health-economy trade-off, quite the opposite“. Have the countries experiencing the largest economic decline performed better in protecting the nation’s health, as we would expect if there was a trade-off? The … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, economics, epidemiology, pandemic, policy metrics, politics, SARS-CoV-2
Tagged covid19, economicimpact, lives_for_dollars, pandemicresponse, sars_cov_2
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“Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions”
J. Dehning et al., Science 369, eabb9789 (2020). DOI: 10.1126/science.abb9789 Source code and data. Note: This is not a classical approach to assessing strength of interventions using either counterfactuals or other kinds of causal inference. Accordingly, the argument for the … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Statistical Association, Bayesian, Bayesian computational methods, causal inference, causation, changepoint detection, coronavirus, counterfactuals, COVID-19, epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2, state-space models, statistical series, time series
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COVID-19 statistics, a caveat : Sources of data matter
There are a number of sources of COVID-19-related demographics, cases, deaths, numbers testing positive, numbers recovered, and numbers testing negative available. Many of these are not consistent with one another. One could hope at least rates would be consistent, but … Continue reading
First substantial mechanism for long term immunity from SARS-CoV-2 : T-cells
M. Leslie, “T cells found in COVID-19 patients ‘bode well’ for long-term immunity“, Science, doi:10.1126/science.abc8120. A. Grifoni, et al, “Targets of T cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in humans with COVID-19 disease and unexposed individuals“, Cell, 14th May 2020. J. … Continue reading
Dissection of the Dr Judy Mikovits’ claims in AAAS Science
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/fact-checking-judy-mikovits-controversial-virologist-attacking-anthony-fauci-viral h/t Dr Katharine Hayhoe @LinkedIn The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome retraction notice. Excerpt: Science asked Mikovits for an interview for this article. She responded by sending an empty email with, as attachments, a copy of her new book and a … Continue reading
“Seasonality of COVID-19, Other Coronaviruses, and Influenza” (from Radford Neal’s blog)
Thorough review with documentation and technical criticism of claims of COVID-19 seasonality or its lack. Whichever way this comes down, the links are well worth the visit! Will the incidence of COVID-19 decrease in the summer? There is reason to … Continue reading
Phase plane plots of COVID-19 deaths
There are many ways of presenting analytical summaries of new series data for which the underlying mechanisms are incompletely understood. With respect to series describing the COVID-19 pandemic, Tamino has used piecewise linear models. I have mentioned how I prefered … Continue reading
Machiavelli
It’s right out of Machiavelli’s The Prince. #covid_19 #coronavirus Even for the Trump administration, it is odd they are pushing #Hydroxychloroquine and #Azithromycin so hard, against medical advice and evidence. I’ve thought about this and, given the growing animosity between … Continue reading
New COVID-19 incidence in the United States as AR(1) processes
There are several sources of information regarding Covid-19 incidence now available. This post uses data from a single source: the COVID Tracking Project. In particular I restrict attention to cumulative daily case counts for the United States, the UK, and … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, epidemiology, pandemic, regression, SARS-CoV-2
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ecoquant
