Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Slice Sampling
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Gabriel's staircase
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Risk and Well-Being
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- What If
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- All about models
- Karl Broman
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- James' Empty Blog
- Ted Dunning
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Gavin Simpson
- London Review of Books
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- weather blocking patterns
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Risk and Well-Being
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Simple models of climate change
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Sea Change Boston
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- World Weather Attribution
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- MIT's Climate Primer
- And Then There's Physics
- Skeptical Science
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
Category Archives: SARS-CoV-2
Meet your sparring partner
(Credits: Professor Wendy Barclay of Imperial College London and Professor Tom Burgoyne of University College London)
Posted in COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2 Leave a comment
ICL’s Gast, Openshaw, Riley, Barclay on COVID-19 by SARS-CoV-2 : Disease, transmission, variants, and all that
Posted in COVID-19, epidemiology, ICL, SARS-CoV-2 Leave a comment
The engagement with SARS-CoV-2: Where we stand in the United States, in curated numbers
From the COVID Tracking Project at The Atlantic Monthly, a 23rd December 2020 report: California is out of control. As I’ve noted elsewhere and the COVID Tracking Project reminds, sourcing cases, deaths, positive test rate, and hospitalization data is tricky. … Continue reading
“No, COVID-19 Is not the Flu”
Q&A with Andrew Pekosz, PhD, Johns Hopkins University: Q: What would you say to someone who insists to you that COVID-19 is “just the flu”? A: Since December 2019, COVID-19 has killed more people in the U.S. than influenza has … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2 Leave a comment
dead bodies vs economic integrity
From The Financial Times.
Für alle ohne maske
h/t Professor Christian Robert.
Posted in COVID-19, pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 Tagged Berlin, COVID-19, face-mask, Germany, mask-enforcement, pandemic, pandemic-policy, SARS-CoV-2, street-advertising Leave a comment
“Babbage: Pandemic’s progress”
From at The Economist, a podcast episode: Pandemic’s progress Sep 23 2020 28 mins As the global covid-19 death toll nears 1 million, The Economist’s healthcare correspondent and health policy editor explain what scientists are still investigating about the virus, … Continue reading
Posted in pandemic, podcasts, SARS-CoV-2 Tagged Babbage, pandemic response, The Economist Leave a comment
‘The virus is their new hoax’
And note that the variant of SARS-CoV-2 which has taken over the world is a more virulent, more damaging, and more infectious variant of the virus which infected Wuhan. We visualized COVID’s spread across every US state and county. Check … Continue reading
Has maintaining economic growth been worth it?
From Our World in Data article “No sign of a health-economy trade-off, quite the opposite“. Have the countries experiencing the largest economic decline performed better in protecting the nation’s health, as we would expect if there was a trade-off? The … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, economics, epidemiology, pandemic, policy metrics, politics, SARS-CoV-2 Tagged covid19, economicimpact, lives_for_dollars, pandemicresponse, sars_cov_2 Leave a comment
“Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions”
J. Dehning et al., Science 369, eabb9789 (2020). DOI: 10.1126/science.abb9789 Source code and data. Note: This is not a classical approach to assessing strength of interventions using either counterfactuals or other kinds of causal inference. Accordingly, the argument for the … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Statistical Association, Bayesian, Bayesian computational methods, causal inference, causation, changepoint detection, coronavirus, counterfactuals, COVID-19, epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2, state-space models, statistical series, time series Leave a comment
COVID-19 statistics, a caveat : Sources of data matter
There are a number of sources of COVID-19-related demographics, cases, deaths, numbers testing positive, numbers recovered, and numbers testing negative available. Many of these are not consistent with one another. One could hope at least rates would be consistent, but … Continue reading
First substantial mechanism for long term immunity from SARS-CoV-2 : T-cells
M. Leslie, “T cells found in COVID-19 patients ‘bode well’ for long-term immunity“, Science, doi:10.1126/science.abc8120. A. Grifoni, et al, “Targets of T cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in humans with COVID-19 disease and unexposed individuals“, Cell, 14th May 2020. J. … Continue reading
Dissection of the Dr Judy Mikovits’ claims in AAAS Science
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/fact-checking-judy-mikovits-controversial-virologist-attacking-anthony-fauci-viral h/t Dr Katharine Hayhoe @LinkedIn The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome retraction notice. Excerpt: Science asked Mikovits for an interview for this article. She responded by sending an empty email with, as attachments, a copy of her new book and a … Continue reading
“Seasonality of COVID-19, Other Coronaviruses, and Influenza” (from Radford Neal’s blog)
Thorough review with documentation and technical criticism of claims of COVID-19 seasonality or its lack. Whichever way this comes down, the links are well worth the visit! Will the incidence of COVID-19 decrease in the summer? There is reason to … Continue reading
Phase plane plots of COVID-19 deaths
There are many ways of presenting analytical summaries of new series data for which the underlying mechanisms are incompletely understood. With respect to series describing the COVID-19 pandemic, Tamino has used piecewise linear models. I have mentioned how I prefered … Continue reading
It’s right out of Machiavelli’s The Prince. #covid_19 #coronavirus Even for the Trump administration, it is odd they are pushing #Hydroxychloroquine and #Azithromycin so hard, against medical advice and evidence. I’ve thought about this and, given the growing animosity between … Continue reading
New COVID-19 incidence in the United States as AR(1) processes
There are several sources of information regarding Covid-19 incidence now available. This post uses data from a single source: the COVID Tracking Project. In particular I restrict attention to cumulative daily case counts for the United States, the UK, and … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, epidemiology, pandemic, regression, SARS-CoV-2 1 Comment