667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: COVID-19

Für alle ohne maske

Posted on 15 October 2020 by ecoquant

h/t Professor Christian Robert.

Posted in COVID-19, pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 | Tagged Berlin, COVID-19, face-mask, Germany, mask-enforcement, pandemic, pandemic-policy, SARS-CoV-2, street-advertising | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Earle Wilson
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • What If
    • James' Empty Blog
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Professor David Draper
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • "The Expert"
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Ted Dunning
    • All about models
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Label Noise
    • Mertonian norms
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • American Statistical Association
    • Karl Broman
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
  • climate change

    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • RealClimate
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Earth System Models
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • Sea Change Boston
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • World Weather Attribution
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • weather blocking patterns
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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