667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: extreme events

“The most common fallacy in discussing extreme weather events”: Stefan Rahmstorf

Posted on 29 March 2014 by ecoquant

The most common fallacy in discussing extreme weather events.

Posted in carbon dioxide, climate, climate education, forecasting, geophysics, mathematics, maths, meteorology, physics, probabilistic programming, reasonableness, risk, science, statistics | Tagged extreme events | Leave a comment
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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