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Tag Archives: rational actors

Economics, Melting, and Sea-Level Rise (Professor Richard Alley)

Posted on 24 November 2013 by ecoquant
Posted in climate, climate education, ecology, environment, geoengineering, geophysics, meteorology, oceanography, physics, science | Tagged climate, econimics, economic choice, economic efficiency, environment, geophysics, planning, policy, rational actors | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Label Noise
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Gavin Simpson
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Professor David Draper
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Earle Wilson
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Slice Sampling
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • London Review of Books
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
  • climate change

    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • Sea Change Boston
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • Skeptical Science
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Warming slowdown discussion
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Earth System Models
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • SolarLove
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Ice and Snow
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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