Professor Darren Wilkinson offers a pithy insight on how to go about constructing statistical models, notably hierarchical ones: “… we want to model the process as we would simulate it ….” This appears in his blog post One-way ANOVA with fixed and random effects from a Bayesian perspective.

Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

Blogroll
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Risk and Well-Being
- Gabriel's staircase
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- "The Expert"
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- All about models
- Professor David Draper
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- London Review of Books
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Earle Wilson
- Slice Sampling
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Label Noise
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Number Cruncher Politics
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Karl Broman
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Mertonian norms
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
climate change
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Ice and Snow
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Skeptical Science
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- The Sunlight Economy
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Reanalyses.org
- Warming slowdown discussion
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Risk and Well-Being
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- MIT's Climate Primer
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- SolarLove
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- World Weather Attribution
Archives
Jan Galkowski

