This is from a blog post by Professor Lucas Davis at his blog. In addition to the subject, that’s an interesting way of presenting a change over time I’ll need to think about: It seems the model could be used in other, more comprehensive ways. Note it’s really a matched pairs test, where each state is a candidate and its electricity use in 2010 is match with that in 2015. Even though the amount of electricity used by any individual state over time is a dependent quantity, electricity use of one state is more or less independent of that in another state. They might be dependent if, say, the United States economy crashed, or if it underwent a sudden boom.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- American Statistical Association
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Karl Broman
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Gabriel's staircase
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Earle Wilson
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Ted Dunning
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- What If
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
climate change
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- weather blocking patterns
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- David Appell's early climate science
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- The Sunlight Economy
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Ice and Snow
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Sea Change Boston
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
Archives
Jan Galkowski