667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: education

“Is Roger Rabbit running AccuWeather?”

Posted on 19 October 2013 by ecoquant

http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/2013/08/07/is-roger-rabbit-running-accuweather/

Posted in climate, climate education, education, environment, geophysics, meteorology, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science | Tagged climate, communication, education, geophysics, science, statistics, weather | Leave a comment

High School Sports versus What High School is For

Posted on 24 September 2013 by ecoquant

http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/2013/09/24/worth-a-read-the-case-against-high-school-sports/ Direct link is: http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2013/10/the-case-against-high-school-sports/309447/

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged education, math, science | 1 Comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

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    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • American Statistical Association
    • Label Noise
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
    • The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Gavin Simpson
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Earle Wilson
    • What If
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Awkward Botany
  • climate change

    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • World Weather Attribution
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Sea Change Boston
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • weather blocking patterns
    • Skeptical Science
    • Simple models of climate change
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • RealClimate
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Earth System Models
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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