
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

Blogroll
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Gavin Simpson
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Earle Wilson
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- All about models
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Professor David Draper
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- London Review of Books
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Risk and Well-Being
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- James' Empty Blog
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Slice Sampling
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- What If
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
climate change
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Warming slowdown discussion
- World Weather Attribution
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Earth System Models
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- weather blocking patterns
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Risk and Well-Being
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Simple models of climate change
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- RealClimate
- SolarLove
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
Archives
Jan Galkowski


Ah, the famed fable of bacteria I first heard in the c.1994 class of bacteriology… don’t know who came up with it but surely taking the full implications in as a guideline for future would be advisable to many…
Except world population stopped growing exponentially twenty years ago. Since then population under 15 is stable.
Overall population only keeps growing because of increasing life expectancy, which is a good thing, after all. However, it is not exponential any more, because no one can produce more than one dotard ever by simply getting old.
That’s because women (unlike men) are rational beings.
To stabilize population two things are needed:
Decrease infant mortality substantially
Increase educational level of girls
If any one of these two preconditions are missing, you have a population explosion. Specifically, increasing educational level of boys alone does not have any effect.
But as soon as they are both met, it works like magic.
Yeah, except that that’s incredibly short-sighted. Suzuki is talking about any process that grows
, with
and usually
small. Could be fossil fuel availability. Could be capacity of atmosphere below some (unknown) limit that there are (relatively) catastrophic climatic changes. Suzuki’s emphasis upon the 59th minute, and mine, make that obvious.
And, a reminder, you are no longer at Azimuth. My rules are more stringent, and, in my opinion, Azimuth and, for that matter, Science of Doom are way too civil that way. I don’t tolerate bullshit, however sophisticated it is dressed up. I’m more like Tamino and PZ Myers that way. And if you don’t like it, you are not welcome here: The First Amendment doesn’t apply. This is private property.