This is a very welcome addition by a master of Bayesian computation, providing a great, brief answer for many of my colleagues who ask, “What’s this MCMC thing about anyway?”
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- NCAR AtmosNews
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- All about models
- Ted Dunning
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Slice Sampling
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Label Noise
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Karl Broman
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- What If
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Gavin Simpson
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
climate change
- weather blocking patterns
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Simple models of climate change
- SolarLove
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- World Weather Attribution
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Spectra Energy exposed
- And Then There's Physics
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Ice and Snow
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- The Sunlight Economy
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Social Cost of Carbon
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Risk and Well-Being
- Reanalyses.org
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Earth System Models
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
