This is a very welcome addition by a master of Bayesian computation, providing a great, brief answer for many of my colleagues who ask, “What’s this MCMC thing about anyway?”

Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

Blogroll
- Professor David Draper
- James' Empty Blog
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Slice Sampling
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- All about models
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Risk and Well-Being
- London Review of Books
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Label Noise
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Gavin Simpson
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- American Statistical Association
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
climate change
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- David Appell's early climate science
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Ice and Snow
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Social Cost of Carbon
- weather blocking patterns
- World Weather Attribution
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Risk and Well-Being
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Reanalyses.org
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Simple models of climate change
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- RealClimate
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
Archives
Jan Galkowski

