The Committee on Science, Space & Technology of the US House of Representatives conducts regular evidence hearings on various science topics. On Wednesday 29th March, there is a hearing on “Climate science: assumptions, policy implications, and the scientific method”. The following letter, summarising the scientific findings of Fyfe et al. (2016) and Karl et al. (2015), has been submitted as evidence to this hearing.
The broader context is that the Committee Chairman, Mr. Lamar Smith, has previously discussed the findings of Fyfe et al. (of which I was a co-author), claiming: “A new peer-reviewed study, published in the journal Nature, confirms the halt in global warming”. This statement is incorrect, and motivated the clarification on what Fyfe et al. actually says.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- What If
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- London Review of Books
- Professor David Draper
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Earle Wilson
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Label Noise
- Gavin Simpson
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- All about Sankey diagrams
- American Statistical Association
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Risk and Well-Being
- Gabriel's staircase
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- James' Empty Blog
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Ted Dunning
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- "The Expert"
climate change
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- World Weather Attribution
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Skeptical Science
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- And Then There's Physics
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Risk and Well-Being
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- MIT's Climate Primer
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Simple models of climate change
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- RealClimate
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
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Jan Galkowski