“Lockdown WORKS”

Tamino favors LASSO LOESS and piecewise linear models. I favor splines, especially penalized smoothing splines via the R package pspline, using generalized cross validation to set the smoothing parameter. Tamino looks for breaks in the piecewise linear case to check for and test for significant changes. I use the first and higher derivatives of the spline.

Both methods are sound and good.

I don’t know how you might use a random forest regression for this purpose, but I bet there is a way. I doubt it is as good, though.

About ecoquant

See https://wordpress.com/view/667-per-cm.net/ Retired data scientist and statistician. Now working projects in quantitative ecology and, specifically, phenology of Bryophyta and technical methods for their study.
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1 Response to “Lockdown WORKS”

  1. Pingback: Phase plane plots of COVID-19 deaths | hypergeometric

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