### Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

### Blogroll

- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Ted Dunning
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Professor David Draper
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- American Statistical Association
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Label Noise
- Number Cruncher Politics
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Gabriel's staircase
- All about models
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- "The Expert"
- London Review of Books
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Earle Wilson
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools

### climate change

- Spectra Energy exposed
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Skeptical Science
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Ice and Snow
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Risk and Well-Being
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- MIT's Climate Primer
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Earth System Models
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- World Weather Attribution
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Reanalyses.org
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte

### Archives

### Jan Galkowski

# Category Archives: statistical regression

## “Lockdown WORKS”

Originally posted on Open Mind:

Over 2400 Americans died yesterday from Coronavirus. Here are the new deaths per day (“daily mortality”) in the USA since March 10, 2020 (note: this is an exponential plot) As bad as that news is,…

## What happens when time sampling density of a series matches its growth

This is the newly updated map of COVID-19 cases in the United States, updated, presumably, because of the new emphasis upon testing: How do we know this is the recent of recent testing? Look at the map of active cases: … Continue reading

Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Statistical Association, anti-intellectualism, anti-science, climate denial, corruption, data science, data visualization, Donald Trump, dump Trump, epidemiology, experimental science, exponential growth, forecasting, Kalman filter, model-free forecasting, nonlinear systems, open data, penalized spline regression, population dynamics, sampling algorithms, statistical ecology, statistical models, statistical regression, statistical series, statistics, sustainability, the right to know, the stack of lies
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## “Code for causal inference: Interested in astronomical applications”

via Code for causal inference: Interested in astronomical applications From Professor Ewan Cameron at his Another Astrostatistics Blog.

Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Statistical Association, astronomy, astrostatistics, causal inference, causation, counterfactuals, epidemiology, experimental design, experimental science, multivariate statistics, prediction, propensity scoring, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, reproducible research, rhetorical mathematics, rhetorical science, rhetorical statistics, science, statistical ecology, statistical models, statistical regression, statistics
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## Reanalysis of business visits from deployments of a mobile phone app

Updated, 20th October 2020 This reports a reanalysis of data from the deployment of a mobile phone app, as reported in: M. Yauck, L.-P. Rivest, G. Rothman, “Capture-recapture methods for data on the activation of applications on mobile phones“, Journal … Continue reading

Posted in Bayesian computational methods, biology, capture-mark-recapture, capture-recapture, Christian Robert, count data regression, cumulants, diffusion, diffusion processes, Ecological Society of America, ecology, epidemiology, experimental science, field research, Gibbs Sampling, Internet measurement, Jean-Michel Marin, linear regression, mark-recapture, mathematics, maximum likelihood, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, multilist methods, multivariate statistics, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric statistics, numerics, open source scientific software, Pierre-Simon Laplace, population biology, population dynamics, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, R, R statistical programming language, sampling, sampling algorithms, segmented package in R, statistical ecology, statistical models, statistical regression, statistical series, statistics, stepwise approximation, stochastic algorithms, surveys, V. M. R. Muggeo
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## A quick note on modeling operational risk from count data

The blog statcompute recently featured a proposal encouraging the use of ordinal models for difficult risk regressions involving count data. This is actually a second installment of a two-part post on this problem, the first dealing with flexibility in count … Continue reading

Posted in American Statistical Association, Bayesian, Bayesian computational methods, count data regression, dichotomising continuous variables, dynamic generalized linear models, Frank Harrell, Frequentist, Generalize Additive Models, generalized linear mixed models, generalized linear models, GLMMs, GLMs, John Kruschke, maximum likelihood, model comparison, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, multivariate statistics, nonlinear, numerical software, numerics, premature categorization, probit regression, statistical regression, statistics
Tagged dichotomising continuous variables, dichotomizing continuous variables, premature categorization, splines
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