Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- All about models
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Risk and Well-Being
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- What If
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Earle Wilson
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Awkward Botany
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Mertonian norms
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Ted Dunning
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Number Cruncher Politics
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
climate change
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Risk and Well-Being
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- weather blocking patterns
- David Appell's early climate science
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Simple models of climate change
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Ice and Snow
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- RealClimate
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Earth System Models
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- World Weather Attribution
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Sea Change Boston
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: accept-reject methods
cdetools package for R: Dalmasso, et al [updated]
Just hit the “arXiv streets”: N. Dalmasso, T. Pospisil, A. B. Lee, R. Izbicki, P. E. Freeman, A. I. Malz, “Conditional Density Estimation Tools in Python and R with applications to photometric redshifts and likelihood-free cosmological inference”, arXiv.org > astro-ph … Continue reading
Sampling: Rejection, Reservoir, and Slice
An article by Suilou Huang for catatrophe modeler AIR-WorldWide of Boston about rejection sampling in CAT modeling got me thinking about pulling together some notes about sampling algorithms of various kinds. There are, of course, books written about this subject, … Continue reading
Posted in accept-reject methods, American Statistical Association, Bayesian computational methods, catastrophe modeling, data science, diffusion processes, empirical likelihood, Gibbs Sampling, insurance, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, mathematics, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, maths, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, multivariate statistics, numerical algorithms, numerical analysis, numerical software, numerics, percolation theory, Python 3 programming language, R statistical programming language, Radford Neal, sampling, slice sampling, spatial statistics, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search
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